The kick off for the match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid will take place at 16:15 (UK time) - Sunday, 11/09 - at the . This clash of the 2025/26 La Liga looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Real Madrid Win
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Rayo Vallecano preview
Rayo Vallecano has played 11 matches in the La Liga so far, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. This results in an average of 1.27 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses. Rayo Vallecano's attack has scored 27 goals, 12 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.09 goals per league match and 1.69 goals per match across the entire season.
Jorge De Frutos is the team’s top scorer with 4 goals, while Isi Palazón leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Rayo Vallecano has conceded 14 goals in the league (an average of 1.27) and 17 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.06 over 16 matches).
Real Madrid preview
In 11 La Liga matches, Real Madrid has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 2.73 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 13 wins in 15 matches. The team has scored 34 goals, 26 of them in the La Liga (an average of 2.36 goals per match), with Kylian Mbappé being the team's top scorer with 13 goals and Arda Guler providing 5 assists.
Defensively, Real Madrid has conceded 10 goals in the league and 12 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Rayo Vallecano
Spain - La Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W L |
1.27 |
| Home | W L D D |
1.25 |
| Away | L W W L L |
1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 25% | 43% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 1.5 | 2.86 |
| Scored | 1.09 | 0.75 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.27 | 0.75 | 1.57 |
| Both Teams to Score | 36% | 50% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 25% | 43% |
| 1st to Score | 36% | 25% | 43% |
|
xG
|
1.43 | 1.74 | 1.26 |
|
xGA
|
1.36 | 1.06 | 1.53 |
Away Team
Real Madrid
Spain - La Liga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W L |
2.73 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 91% | 100% | 80% |
| Goals | 3.27 | 2.83 | 3.8 |
| Scored | 2.36 | 2.33 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 0.91 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 36% | 83% | 80% |
|
xG
|
2.27 | 2.38 | 2.14 |
|
xGA
|
1.07 | 0.91 | 1.26 |
Access all match stats for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid
Where to watch Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid live?
Check out the live stream of Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid below and follow the match in real time.
