Querétaro and Toluca face each other on Sunday 04.05.2026, at 00:00 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Querétaro's home ground, the Estadio La Corregidora.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Querétaro Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. and Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Querétaro vs Toluca
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Toluca Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Querétaro preview
Querétaro heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 28 matches, Querétaro Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V. secured 7 victories, 7 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The White Roosters's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.
Querétaro has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 27 goals, of which 27 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 0.96 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Ali Ávila Vega, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Lucas Rodríguez has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Querétaro has conceded 45 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1.61 per game) and 45 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.61 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Toluca preview
Toluca comes into the game with 35 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 21 victories, 10 draws, and 4 losses, maintaining an average of 2.09 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 21 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses.
Deportivo Toluca Fútbol Club S.A. de C.V.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 69 goals during this period. Of that total, 69 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 1.97 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.97.
The Red Devils's offensive system is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior, the team's top scorer this season. The portuguese forward has found the back of the net 21 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas. The forward has contributed with 10 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 31 goals with an average of 0.89 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 31 goals in 35 matches, averaging 0.89 per match.
Head to head: Querétaro vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Querétaro
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L L D |
0.6 |
| Home | L D W D L |
1 |
| Away | D D L L L |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 25% | 38% | 13% |
| Goals | 2.57 | 2.62 | 2.53 |
| Scored | 0.96 | 1.31 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.61 | 1.31 | 1.87 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 46% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 31% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 31% | 53% |
| 1st to Score | 25% | 31% | 20% |
|
xG
|
1.07 | 1.12 | 1.03 |
|
xGA
|
1.6 | 1.53 | 1.67 |
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W W W |
2.2 |
| Home | D W W W D |
2.2 |
| Away | D W W D D |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 53% |
| Goals | 2.86 | 3.44 | 2.24 |
| Scored | 1.97 | 2.39 | 1.53 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 1.06 | 0.71 |
| Both Teams to Score | 54% | 72% | 35% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 28% | 47% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 6% | 41% |
| 1st to Score | 25% | 61% | 41% |
|
xG
|
1.81 | 1.99 | 1.59 |
|
xGA
|
1.09 | 1.08 | 1.1 |
Access all match stats for Querétaro vs Toluca
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