Qarabag vs Ajax | Prediction | UEFA Champions League | 10/12
Europe - UEFA Champions League
Qarabag and Ajax face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League season. The game takes place at Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu on Wednesday, 10/12/2025, at 17:45 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Qarabag vs Ajax, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Qarabag vs Ajax
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
Market: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals · @ 1.42
Last updated: 08-12-2025
APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match
Based on our analysis, Qarabag vs Ajax looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.
The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.
Our prediction is: Qarabag to win the 1st half
Qarabag has been a strong home team overall this season, and the statistics point to them being particularly quick to pounce in the opening 45 minutes. Whether that aggressive mentality is due to the energy of the home crowd or an intentional plan on the part of the manager, it has proven to be very effective.
We foresee that plan paying off once again in their match against Ajax, so our top tip is for Qarabag to win the first half.
Qarabag preview
Qarabag comes into the match having played 11 games in the UEFA Champions League so far. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 2 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses.
Qarabag's attack has scored 23 goals during this period. Out of this total, 23 goals were scored in the UEFA Champions League, averaging 2.09 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.09.
The offense system of Qarabag is led by Leandro Andrade as the top scorer of the season. The cape verdean midfielder has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Abdellah Zoubir, who has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 14 goals with an average of 1.27 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 14 goals conceded in 11 matches, resulting in an average of 1.27.
- 27/08/2026QarabagTwenteL1427/08/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueQarabag
v.s
Twente1 - 4L - 20/08/2026TwenteQarabagW0120/08/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueTwente
v.s
Qarabag0 - 1W - 13/08/2026QarabagDynamo KyivW2013/08/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueQarabag
v.s
Dynamo Kyiv2 - 0W - 06/08/2026Dynamo KyivQarabagL1006/08/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueDynamo Kyiv
v.s
Qarabag1 - 0L - 30/07/2026CSKA SofiaQarabagD0030/07/2026UEFA Europa LeagueCSKA Sofia
v.s
Qarabag0 - 0D
Ajax preview
On the other hand, Ajax comes into the match having played 5 games in the UEFA Champions League so far. They have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 0 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses.
Ajax's attack has scored 29 goals during this period. Out of this total, 1 goals were scored in the UEFA Champions League, averaging 0.2 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.45.
The offense system of Ajax is led by Wout Weghorst as the top scorer of the season. The dutch forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Mika Godts, who has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 16 goals with an average of 3.2 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 36 goals conceded in 20 matches, resulting in an average of 1.8.
- 22/10/2026AjaxAtalantaW2022/10/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAjax
v.s
Atalanta2 - 0W - 18/10/2026GroningenAjaxW2518/10/2026EredivisieGroningen
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Ajax2 - 5W - 15/10/2026Hajduk SplitAjaxL2115/10/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHajduk Split
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Ajax2 - 1L - 10/10/2026AjaxNECD1110/10/2026EredivisieAjax
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NEC1 - 1D - 19/09/2026AjaxExcelsiorD2219/09/2026EredivisieAjax
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Excelsior2 - 2D
Head to head: Qarabag vs Ajax
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Qarabag
Home
Ajax
Away
Points & Results
- PPG20
- 64%Wins0%
- 45%First to Score0%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game2.090.20
- Conceded/game1.273.20
- xG1.460.85
- xGA1.501.62
Trends
- 55%Both Score20%
- 36%Clean Sheet0%
- 9%Failed to Score80%
Access all match stats for Qarabag vs Ajax
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Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
69
Articles
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.