PSV and Excelsior face each other on Saturday 01.10.2026, at 19:00 (UK Time), in a Eredivisie 2025/26 match. The game will take place at PSV's home ground, the Philips Stadion.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between PSV and Excelsior, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for PSV vs Excelsior
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 3.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
PSV preview
PSV heads into the match with the following record in the Eredivisie: in 17 matches, PSV Eindhoven secured 15 victories, 1 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.71 points per game.
Taking a broader look at PSV's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 19 victories so far.
PSV has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 72 goals, of which 52 were scored in the Eredivisie, resulting in an average of 3.06 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Guus Til, who has found the back of the net 11 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Ivan Perišić has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, PSV has conceded 21 goals in the Eredivisie (an average of 1.24 per game) and 33 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.32 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Excelsior preview
Excelsior comes into the game with 16 matches played so far in the Eredivisie. They have secured 6 victories, 1 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 1.19 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses.
Roodzwarten's attack has been highly effective, scoring 16 goals during this period. Of that total, 16 were netted in the Eredivisie, with an average of 1 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.94.
Roodzwarten's offensive system is led by Noah Naujoks, the team's top scorer this season. The dutch midfielder has found the back of the net 5 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Derensili Sanches Fernandes. The midfielder has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 27 goals with an average of 1.69 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 28 goals in 17 matches, averaging 1.65 per match.
Head to head: PSV vs Excelsior
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
PSV
Netherlands - Eredivisie
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
2.71 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.38 |
| Away | W W W W W |
3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Goals | 4.29 | 4.88 | 3.78 |
| Scored | 3.06 | 3.25 | 2.89 |
| Conceded | 1.24 | 1.63 | 0.89 |
| Both Teams to Score | 65% | 75% | 56% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 13% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 82% | 88% | 78% |
|
xG
|
2.04 | 2.36 | 1.76 |
|
xGA
|
1.33 | 1.17 | 1.47 |
Excelsior
Netherlands - Eredivisie
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W L |
1.19 |
| Home | W L W L W |
1.33 |
| Away | W D L L W |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 44% | 29% |
| Goals | 2.69 | 2 | 3.57 |
| Scored | 1 | 0.89 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 1.69 | 1.11 | 2.43 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 44% | 71% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 22% | 29% |
| 1st to Score | 82% | 78% | 43% |
|
xG
|
1.34 | 1.3 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.9 | 1.91 | 1.88 |
Access all match stats for PSV vs Excelsior
Where to watch PSV vs Excelsior live?
Check out the live stream of PSV vs Excelsior below and follow the match in real time.
I am a journalist with ten years of experience in sports content, SEO, and digital marketing, focused on building and optimizing products for the iGaming industry. My background includes work as a sports TV reporter, producing news stories, writing for major digital portals, and delivering live broadcasts, as well as strategic roles in SEO, growth, and community management across WhatsApp and social media platforms. Throughout my career, I have combined editorial expertise, data-driven analysis, and performance-oriented strategies to drive audience growth and engagement.