The kick off for the match between Progreso and Peñarol will take place at 23:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 04/04 - at the Parque Abraham Paladino. This clash of the 2026 Primera División looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Club Atlético Progreso vs Club Atlético Peñarol. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Progreso vs Peñarol
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Over 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Progreso Preview
Progreso has played 9 matches in the Primera División so far, with 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 0.78 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses. Progreso's attack has scored 9 goals, 9 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1 goals per league match and 1 goals per match across the entire season.
Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara is the team’s top scorer with 2 goals, while Facundo Kidd Álvarez leads the team in assists with 1. Defensively, The Gauchos of the Pantanoso has conceded 15 goals in the league (an average of 1.67) and 15 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.67 over 9 matches).
Peñarol preview
In 9 Primera División matches, Peñarol has recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.11 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 6 wins in 9 matches. The team has scored 15 goals, 15 of them in the Primera División (an average of 1.67 goals per match), with Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez being the team's top scorer with 6 goals and Leonardo Cecilio Fernández López providing 2 assists.
Defensively, Coalmen has conceded 8 goals in the league and 8 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.89 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Progreso vs Peñarol
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L W D |
1.2 |
| Home | D L D L L |
0.4 |
| Away | D W D L D |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 3 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.67 | 2 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 22% | 20% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.06 | 1.17 | 0.92 |
|
xGA
|
1.49 | 1.41 | 1.59 |
Peñarol
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W D |
2 |
| Home | L W D W W |
2 |
| Away | W W W L L |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Goals | 2.56 | 3.2 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.67 | 2 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 100% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 0% | 75% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 22% | 40% | 75% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.61 | 1.61 |
|
xGA
|
1 | 1.05 | 0.94 |
Access all match stats for Progreso vs Peñarol
Where to watch The Gauchos of the Pantanoso vs Coalmen live?
Check out the live stream of Progreso vs Peñarol below and follow the match in real time.
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.