Progreso and Cerro face each other on Sunday 10.05.2025, at 14:30 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2025 match. The game will take place at Progreso's home ground, the Parque Abraham Paladino.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Progreso and Cerro, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Progreso vs Cerro
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Progreso preview
Progreso heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 31 matches, Progreso secured 7 victories, 10 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Progreso's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 8 victories so far.
Progreso has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 39 goals, of which 29 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 0.94 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Pablo Nicolás Fernández Sosa, who has found the back of the net 4 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Progreso has conceded 45 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.45 per game) and 64 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.56 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Cerro preview
Cerro comes into the game with 31 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 7 victories, 11 draws, and 13 losses, maintaining an average of 1.03 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 10 wins, 16 draws, and 15 losses.
Cerro's attack has been highly effective, scoring 33 goals during this period. Of that total, 24 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 0.77 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.8.
Cerro's offensive system is led by Enzo Miguel Larrosa Martínez, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan midfielder has found the back of the net 5 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Emilio Crespo Pazos. The defender has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 38 goals with an average of 1.23 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 46 goals in 41 matches, averaging 1.12 per match.
Head to head: Progreso vs Cerro
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D W L |
1 |
| Home | W W D L W |
1.2 |
| Away | D D L D L |
0.81 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 23% | 33% | 13% |
| Goals | 2.39 | 2.6 | 2.19 |
| Scored | 0.94 | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.45 | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 53% | 56% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 27% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 27% | 44% |
| 1st to Score | 35% | 33% | 38% |
|
xG
|
1.36 | 1.46 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.38 | 1.26 | 1.49 |
Away Team
Cerro
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L L L |
1.03 |
| Home | W L D L W |
1.36 |
| Away | W L L D D |
0.76 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 23% | 36% | 12% |
| Goals | 2 | 1.86 | 2.12 |
| Scored | 0.77 | 0.93 | 0.65 |
| Conceded | 1.23 | 0.93 | 1.47 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 57% | 41% |
| Without Conceding | 35% | 29% | 41% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 29% | 47% |
| 1st to Score | 35% | 43% | 29% |
|
xG
|
0.93 | 0.95 | 0.91 |
|
xGA
|
1.42 | 1.33 | 1.5 |
Access all match stats for Progreso vs Cerro
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