Prediction: Celaya vs Morelia - Ascenso MX 2024/25
Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX
The APWin team has provided a prediction for Celaya vs Morelia in Round 9 of Ascenso MX. The Celaya vs Morelia match will take place on 09/03/2025 at 02:00.
Our sports betting experts have looked at all the odds and probabilities for this match based on the bookmakers’ offerings, and this is the free tip they have come up with.
This goes beyond just picking who wins the Celaya vs Morelia match. It is also geared toward finding the best value that can help bettors maximise their profits.
Check out our complete thoughts below.
Celaya vs Morelia Betting Tips
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
Our prediction is: Celaya to win the 1st half
While the half-time market is not a particularly popular betting market, it does provide a good deal of value. And this is true for Celaya vs Morelia, where we have Celaya to win the first half as our best bet.
Celaya has been quite a fast starter at home as they quickly put the pressure on their visitors in the opening minutes. That strategy should lead to a Celaya taking an advantage into half-time.
Our prediction is: Celaya to win
Celaya vs Morelia has all the makings of a competitive battle between two sides that are both eyeing an important win. But we are ever so slightly leaning toward Celaya to win on the 1X2 market.
Celaya will enjoy home advantage, which they have capitalised on with their strong form at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya). They remain good value to win with their odds, and we expect them to pay out those odds with all three points at home.
Celaya vs Morelia Match Details
The Celaya vs Morelia match in the Ascenso MX competition, takes place on 09/03/2025, at 02:00.
You can find all the main pre-match information down below:
- 📅 Date: 09/03/2025 - Sunday
- 🕗 Time: 02:00
- 🏟️ Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
- ⚽ Competition: Ascenso MX
- 📺 Broadcast: See all options to watch live football
At APWin, you can check out the statistics that you need to know all about Celaya to Morelia ahead of kickoff.
Meanwhile, you can find relevant details for other matches in the Ascenso MX competition, as well as other competitions from around the world.
Celaya Stats & Results
To date, Celaya has played in 27 matches in this Ascenso MX campaign:
- ✅ 12 wins
- 🟰 8 draws
- ❌ 7 loses
- 🔢 Average points per match: 1.63
And these are their goal statistics thus far:
- 😜 51 goals scored
- 😩 33 goals conceded
- 📈😜 Average goals scored per match: 1.89
- 📈😩 Average goals conceded per game: 1.22
Last matches
- 26/04/2026Cimarrones de SonoraCelayaL2126/04/2026Liga Premier Serie ACimarrones de Sonora
v.s
Celaya2 - 1L - 23/04/2026CelayaCimarrones de SonoraW2123/04/2026Liga Premier Serie ACelaya
v.s
Cimarrones de Sonora2 - 1W - 18/04/2026Leones Negros PremierCelayaW1218/04/2026Liga Premier Serie ALeones Negros Premier
v.s
Celaya1 - 2W - 16/04/2026CelayaLeones Negros PremierW5016/04/2026Liga Premier Serie ACelaya
v.s
Leones Negros Premier5 - 0W - 12/04/2026CelayaChiapas PremierD1112/04/2026Liga Premier Serie ACelaya
v.s
Chiapas Premier1 - 1D
Morelia Stats & Results
Meanwhile, this is how Celaya’s Ascenso MX campaign has gone after 21 matches played:
- ✅ 7 wins
- 🟰 4 draws
- ❌ 10 loses
- 🔢 Average points per match: 1.19
And this is their complete goal summary:
- 😜 20 goals scored
- 😩 34 goals conceded
- 📈😜 Average goals scored per match: 0.95
- 📈😩 Average goals conceded per game: 1.62
Last matches
- 18/10/2026MoreliaJaiba BravaL1218/10/2026Ascenso MXMorelia
v.s
Jaiba Brava1 - 2L - 10/10/2026TepatitlánMoreliaD1110/10/2026Ascenso MXTepatitlán
v.s
Morelia1 - 1D - 04/10/2026MoreliaTlaxcalaD1104/10/2026Ascenso MXMorelia
v.s
Tlaxcala1 - 1D - 26/09/2026VenadosMoreliaL2126/09/2026Ascenso MXVenados
v.s
Morelia2 - 1L - 20/09/2026MoreliaLeones NegrosW2020/09/2026Ascenso MXMorelia
v.s
Leones Negros2 - 0W
Team Campaign
To contextualize how both teams arrive for this game, we bring here how the two clubs' campaigns are going at this current moment.
[main-standings-widget season_id="12643" home_id=1452 away_id=1429]
Below you also have a summary of the teams' performance with various information to support your football prediction.
Celaya
Home
Morelia
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.631.19
- 44%Wins33%
- 59%First to Score33%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.890.95
- Conceded/game1.221.62
- xG1.621.14
- xGA1.331.22
Trends
- 67%Both Score57%
- 19%Clean Sheet24%
- 19%Failed to Score24%
Celaya vs Morelia head-to-head record
Now let’s take a closer look at the recent history of head-to-head matchups between the two clubs. These past meetings can help tell whether one side has had the better of the other or if the two teams have been evenly matched.
In recent years, Celaya vs Morelia have played a total of 15 times, across all competitions. This is the summary of their results:
- Celaya wins: 3
- Morelia wins: 9
- Draws: 3
[match-teams-h2h-widget home_id=1452 away_id=1429 date_unix=1741482000 title="General - Head to Head" title_tag="div"]
The last match between the teams was on 03/10/2024 in the Ascenso MX competition. The score was: Morelia (2) - (0) Celaya.
Conclusion
These have been our analysis and prediction of the Celaya vs Morelia match in Round 9 of Ascenso MX.
At APWin, we give out our top betting tips of the day in order to help bettors get the best possible outcome on their bets. We are committed to giving bettors all the information they need for whichever match they are interested in before making their betting picks.
So if you’re looking for tips for Ascenso MX, just head here and check out our football predictions today.
Our football tipsters and analysts are always in search of the best betting markets for Celaya vs Morelia and other matches that we can then suggest to you. We want you to get the most value out of all of your bets every time you place one down.
And now we leave you with one last betting tip: visit our site, where you will find all the football statistics from hundreds of different competitions that you need to make some bets.
Click on the link below and discover the free tool now.

Celaya vs Morelia Preview, Livescore and H2H
FAQ about the match
See below all the main information for this match.
[faq-item question="Where and when will the Celaya vs Morelia match take place?" answer="Celaya vs Morelia will be held at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés on 09/03/2025 02:00."]
[faq-item question="What time will Celaya vs Morelia kick off?" answer="The Celaya vs Morelia match kick-off is scheduled for 02:00 (UK Time)."]
[faq-item question="Who is the favourite to win in Celaya vs Morelia?" answer="According to sports betting sites, Celaya is the favourite to win the match with 63% chance of winning."]
[faq-item question="Who won the last match between Celaya vs Morelia?" answer="Morelia won the last match between Celaya and Morelia, which was on 09/03/2025 in the Ascenso MX competition. The result of that match was 2 - 0."]
[faq-item question="What is the record of Celaya vs Morelia?" answer="In their last 15 meetings, there have been 3 Celaya wins, 9 Morelia wins, and 3 draws."]
[faq-item question="What are the odds for Celaya vs Morelia?" answer="Celaya's odds to win are 1.6 and Morelia's odds are 6.45. The odds of a draw are 4.63."]
[faq-item question="What is the prediction for Celaya vs Morelia?" answer="You can find our predictions and betting tips for Celaya vs Morelia above."]