Porto Velho and Independência face each other on Saturday 05.09.2026, at 21:00 (UK Time), in a Serie D 2026 match. The game will take place at Porto Velho's home ground, the Estádio Aluízio Ferreira (Aluizão).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Porto Velho Esporte Clube and Independência Futebol Clube, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Porto Velho vs Independência
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Porto Velho preview
Porto Velho heads into the match with the following record in the Serie D: in 5 matches, Porto Velho Esporte Clube secured 2 victories, 1 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.4 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Locomotive's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 10 victories so far.
Porto Velho has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 34 goals, of which 11 were scored in the Serie D, resulting in an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Luan Viana Patrocinio, who has found the back of the net 1 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Émerson Bacas Neri has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 1 assists.
On the defensive side, Porto Velho has conceded 5 goals in the Serie D (an average of 1 per game) and 19 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.95 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Independência preview
Independência comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the Serie D. They have secured 1 victories, 2 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses.
Independência Futebol Clube's attack has been highly effective, scoring 15 goals during this period. Of that total, 6 were netted in the Serie D, with an average of 1.2 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.15.
Steel Tricolor's offensive system is led by Leonardo da Silva do Nascimento, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian midfielder has found the back of the net 0 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Leonardo da Silva do Nascimento. The midfielder has contributed with 0 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 18 goals in 13 matches, averaging 1.38 per match.
Head to head: Porto Velho vs Independência
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Porto Velho
Brazil - Serie D
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L L W W |
1.4 |
| Home | L W L L W |
1.2 |
| Away | D L W L D |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3 |
| Scored | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 60% | 100% | 33% |
|
xG
|
2.14 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
|
xGA
|
0.89 | 0.97 | 0.84 |
Independência
Brazil - Serie D
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D L W L |
1 |
| Home | D W L L L |
0.8 |
| Away | D L L W L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.2 | 2 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.5 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 60% | 100% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.21 | 1.87 | 0.55 |
|
xGA
|
1.3 | 1.77 | 0.82 |
Access all match stats for Porto Velho vs Independência
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.