Peñarol and Santa Fe face each other on Thursday 05.28.2026, at 01:30 (UK Time), in a Copa Libertadores 2026 match. The game will take place at Peñarol's home ground, the Estadio Campeón del Siglo.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Atlético Peñarol and Club Independiente Santa Fe S.A., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Peñarol vs Santa Fe
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Peñarol preview
Peñarol heads into the match with the following record in the Copa Libertadores: in 5 matches, Club Atlético Peñarol secured 0 victories, 3 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 0.6 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Coalmen's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 10 victories so far.
Peñarol has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 31 goals, of which 4 were scored in the Copa Libertadores, resulting in an average of 0.8 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez, who has found the back of the net 7 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Leonardo Cecilio Fernández López has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Peñarol has conceded 7 goals in the Copa Libertadores (an average of 1.4 per game) and 24 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.09 per match in the 2026 campaign.
Santa Fe preview
Santa Fe comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the Copa Libertadores. They have secured 1 victories, 2 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 9 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses.
Club Independiente Santa Fe S.A.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 40 goals during this period. Of that total, 5 were netted in the Copa Libertadores, with an average of 1 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.43.
Red Express's offensive system is led by Hugo Rodallega Martínez, the team's top scorer this season. The colombian forward has found the back of the net 12 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Omar Andrés Fernández Frasica. The forward has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 7 goals with an average of 1.4 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 31 goals in 28 matches, averaging 1.11 per match.
Head to head: Peñarol vs Santa Fe
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Peñarol
South America - Copa Libertadores
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D W W D |
2.2 |
| Home | D W D D L |
1.2 |
| Away | W W D L L |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Scored | 0.8 | 1 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.3 | 1.43 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.51 | 1.59 | 1.46 |
Santa Fe
South America - Copa Libertadores
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D W D |
1.8 |
| Home | W D W D W |
2.2 |
| Away | D D L W L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.4 | 2.33 | 2.5 |
| Scored | 1 | 1.33 | 0.5 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 40% | 100% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.14 | 1.38 | 0.77 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.14 | 1.78 |
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.