Palmeiras and São Paulo face each other on Saturday 09.12.2026, at 22:30 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2026 match. The game will take place at Palmeiras's home ground, the Allianz Parque.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras and São Paulo Futebol Clube, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Palmeiras vs São Paulo
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Palmeiras preview
Palmeiras heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 26 matches, Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras secured 15 victories, 8 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 2.04 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Verdão's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 32 victories so far.
Palmeiras has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 89 goals, of which 45 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is José Manuel López, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Andreas Pereira has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 11 assists.
On the defensive side, Palmeiras has conceded 21 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 0.81 per game) and 40 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.77 per match in the 2026 campaign.
São Paulo preview
São Paulo comes into the game with 25 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 9 victories, 6 draws, and 10 losses, maintaining an average of 1.32 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 19 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses.
São Paulo Futebol Clube's attack has been highly effective, scoring 57 goals during this period. Of that total, 31 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 1.24 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.27.
Tricolor Paulista's offensive system is led by Luciano da Rocha Neves, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 8 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Wendell Nascimento Borges. The defender has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 28 goals with an average of 1.12 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 49 goals in 45 matches, averaging 1.09 per match.
Head to head: Palmeiras vs São Paulo
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Palmeiras
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D D D W |
1.8 |
| Home | W W W D D |
2.2 |
| Away | D D D W L |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.54 | 2.5 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 1.73 | 1.75 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 14% |
| 1st to Score | 69% | 67% | 71% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.68 | 1.42 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.26 | 1.63 |
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W L W |
1.8 |
| Home | W W W D L |
2 |
| Away | L L D L D |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 58% | 15% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 2.5 | 2.23 |
| Scored | 1.24 | 1.67 | 0.85 |
| Conceded | 1.12 | 0.83 | 1.38 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 58% | 62% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 33% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 8% | 31% |
| 1st to Score | 69% | 83% | 23% |
|
xG
|
1.49 | 1.68 | 1.31 |
|
xGA
|
1.25 | 1.13 | 1.37 |
Access all match stats for Palmeiras vs São Paulo
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.