A thrilling Group I decider awaits at Gillette Stadium as Norway takes on France in their final group-stage match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. With both teams already guaranteed a place in the knockout rounds following perfect starts, the focus now shifts to who finishes top of the group.

Norway sits narrowly ahead on goal difference after impressive early wins, while France remains firmly in contention to reclaim first place in what promises to be a tightly contested clash between two in-form sides.

Read through our Norway vs France prediction before committing to a bet.

Norway vs France prediction for the 2026 World Cup

Our pre-match breakdown shows just how tricky it can be to dig out value in a World Cup tie of this calibre. You will find our top Norway vs France prediction below:

APWin Prediction

BTTS - Yes

Who are the favourites?

Based on the leading UK-licensed bookmakers, France is tipped to come out on top, with 60% of the odds leaning towards their win.

Looking for more? Browse all the World Cup odds and dig into this and other ties from the planet's biggest football tournament.

Norway vs France: head-to-head

Norway and France share no recent head-to-head record, so this is effectively their first meeting in years.

Norway at the 2026 World Cup

Norway arrive having already played 1 match(es) at the 2026 World Cup. Here is the record for Norway National Team:

At the World Cup:

  • 1 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 0 loss(es)

  • 3 point(s) per game on average

  • 4 goals scored at the World Cup (4 per game)

  • 1 goals conceded at the World Cup (1 per game)

Norway National Team in 2026

  • 11 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in all competitions

  • Leading scorer: Erling Haaland with 16 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Martin Ødegaard with 7

France at the 2026 World Cup

France go into this tie with 1 match(es) already behind them at the 2026 World Cup.

Here is what France National Team have managed so far:

At the World Cup

  • 1 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 0 loss(es)

  • 3 point(s) per game on average

  • 3 goals scored at the World Cup (3 per game)

  • 1 goals conceded at the World Cup (1 per game)

France National Team in 2026

  • 10 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in all competitions

  • Leading scorer: Kylian Mbappé with 5 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Kylian Mbappé with 3

Norway vs France statistics at the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Before you stake anything, look over the side-by-side comparison that sheds light on each nation's current form for this World Cup tie:

Home Team

Norway Team Logo

Norway

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W D W D

2.2

Home W W D W D

2.2

Away W D L W W

2

Away Team

France Team Logo

France

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W W L W

2.4

Home W W W L W

2.4

Away W W W D W

2.6

Norway vs France probable lineups

See the predicted starting eleven below for our Norway vs France prediction at the 2026 World Cup.

Norway: Ørjan Nyland, Julian Ryerson, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Leo Østigård, David Møller Wolfe, Sander Berge, Patrick Berg, Felix Horn Myhre, Martin Ødegaard, Antonio Nusa, Erling Haaland.

France: Mike Maignan, Jules Koundé, Dayot Upamecano, William Saliba, Theo Hernández, Aurélien Tchouaméni, N'Golo Kanté, Ousmane Dembélé, Antoine Griezmann, Bradley Barcola, Kylian Mbappé.

The confirmed lineups will be available close to the kickoff time.

How to watch Norway vs France live in the UK

Find out below where you can catch Norway vs France live during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Just remember, kick-off is at 20:00 UK time.

For the full schedule, check our our World Cup live streaming page.

Watch this match

Norway logo
X
France logo
Where to Watch

More betting tips for this match

Alongside the main tip given at the top of this article, here are some other strong bets for Norway vs France:

👉 Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match

Norway and France are two attacking sides who have what it takes to make this an entertaining and eventful match.

That's why we highly recommend taking the bet of over 2.5 goals. The bet wins if there are 3 or more goals scored in the match, and if there are 2 goals or fewer, the bet loses.

👉 Our prediction is: France to win

While France will head into their match against Norway as the favourite, it is still far from a sure thing to score three points away from home. Nevertheless, our betting tip is still France to win on the 1X2 market.

Our analysis of France leads us to believe that they are quite capable on their travels and can come up with the away win without much trouble, even against a tricky opponent like Norway.

Further 2026 World Cup predictions

Browse all of our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and keep up with the sharpest analysis from start to finish of the tournament.

Match details: Norway vs France

🆚 Fixture Norway vs France

🏆 Tournament 2026 FIFA World Cup

📅 Date Friday, 26/06/2026

🕐 Kick-off 20:00 UK time

🏟️ Venue Gillette Stadium, 1388 One Patriot Place

Bet responsibly

Betting should stay a bit of fun. Set yourself limits, keep control, and never wager more than you can comfortably afford to lose.

If betting stops being enjoyable or starts to feel like a problem, reach out to GambleAware or GamCare for support.

Published on 23 June 2026, at 00:45 Last updated on 23 June 2026, at 00:57
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.