New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic prediction

Published: 24 Sept 2026Updated: 24 Sept 2026

USA - USL Championship

Live 36'

0 - 1

26 Sept 2026 21:00

BTTS - Yes

Market: BTTS - Yes · @ 1.66

1.66

Confidence

60%

Last updated: 22-09-2026

New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic face each other on Sunday 09.27.2026, at 02:00 (UK Time), in a USL Championship 2026 match. The game will take place at New Mexico United's home ground, the Stadion Patriot.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

New Mexico United preview

New Mexico United heads into the match with the following record in the USL Championship: in 24 matches, New Mexico United secured 12 victories, 7 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.79 points per game.

Taking a broader look at New Mexico United's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 12 victories so far.

New Mexico United has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 37 goals, of which 37 were scored in the USL Championship, resulting in an average of 1.54 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Greg Hurst, who has found the back of the net 9 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Dayonn Harris has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 7 assists.

On the defensive side, New Mexico United has conceded 27 goals in the USL Championship (an average of 1.13 per game) and 27 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.13 per match in the 2026 campaign.

Sacramento Republic preview

Sacramento Republic comes into the game with 24 matches played so far in the USL Championship. They have secured 9 victories, 10 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.54 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 9 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses.

Sacramento Republic's attack has been highly effective, scoring 30 goals during this period. Of that total, 30 were netted in the USL Championship, with an average of 1.25 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.25.

Sacramento Republic's offensive system is led by Kyle Edwards, the team's top scorer this season. The st. vincentian forward has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, José Rodríguez. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 20 goals with an average of 0.83 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 20 goals in 24 matches, averaging 0.83 per match.

Head to head: New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

New Mexico United

Home

DDDWL
VS

Sacramento Republic

Away

DWDDD

Points & Results

  • 1.79
    PPG
    1.54
  • 50%
    Wins
    38%
  • 46%
    First to Score
    46%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 1.54
    Scored/game
    1.25
  • 1.13
    Conceded/game
    0.83
  • 1.35
    xG
    1.48
  • 1.80
    xGA
    1.14

Trends

  • 54%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 33%
    Clean Sheet
    38%
  • 25%
    Failed to Score
    25%

Access all match stats for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
0.14%
20 - 0
0.09%
31 - 0
0.09%
40 - 1
0.08%
52 - 1
0.08%
61 - 2
0.08%
72 - 0
0.06%
80 - 2
0.06%
92 - 2
0.05%
103 - 1
0.04%
111 - 3
0.03%
123 - 0
0.03%