Nacional and Peñarol face each other on Sunday 11.30.2025, at 19:30 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2025 match. The game will take place at Nacional's home ground, the Estadio Gran Parque Central.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Nacional and Peñarol, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Nacional vs Peñarol
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Nacional preview
Nacional heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 39 matches, Nacional secured 24 victories, 12 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 2.15 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Nacional's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 32 victories so far.
Nacional has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 113 goals, of which 78 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 2 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Nicolás Federico López Alonso, who has found the back of the net 21 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Luciano Boggio Albín has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, Nacional has conceded 35 goals in the Primera División (an average of 0.9 per game) and 68 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.11 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Peñarol preview
Peñarol comes into the game with 40 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 25 victories, 8 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 2.08 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 36 wins, 15 draws, and 15 losses.
Peñarol's attack has been highly effective, scoring 101 goals during this period. Of that total, 70 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 1.75 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.53.
Peñarol's offensive system is led by Maximiliano Joaquín Silvera Cabo, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan forward has found the back of the net 12 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Leonardo Cecilio Fernández López. The midfielder has contributed with 9 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 37 goals with an average of 0.93 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 63 goals in 66 matches, averaging 0.95 per match.
Head to head: Nacional vs Peñarol
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Nacional
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D D D W |
2.15 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.35 |
| Away | D D D D D |
1.95 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 62% | 70% | 53% |
| Goals | 2.9 | 3.25 | 2.53 |
| Scored | 2 | 2.3 | 1.68 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| Both Teams to Score | 59% | 70% | 47% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 30% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 10% | 32% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 60% | 47% |
|
xG
|
1.63 | 1.66 | 1.6 |
|
xGA
|
1.19 | 1.17 | 1.21 |
Peñarol
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W W W L |
2.08 |
| Home | D W W W W |
2.35 |
| Away | W W L D W |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.68 | 2.65 | 2.7 |
| Scored | 1.75 | 1.85 | 1.65 |
| Conceded | 0.93 | 0.8 | 1.05 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 35% | 65% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 65% | 60% |
|
xG
|
1.79 | 1.82 | 1.75 |
|
xGA
|
1.07 | 0.97 | 1.17 |
Access all match stats for Nacional vs Peñarol
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Journalist since 2016, post-graduate during pandemic, and in love with football since child. Sporting was always part of the Gustavo's life, be practicing, watching, making the coverage, and a few years prae here, betting.