The kick off for the match between Morelia and Tepatitlán will take place at 01:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 03/15 - at the Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Morelia vs Tepa. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Morelia vs Tepatitlán
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Double Chance: Draw or Tepatitlán
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Morelia Preview
Morelia has played 26 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 11 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses. This results in an average of 1.58 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses. Morelia's attack has scored 39 goals, 36 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.38 goals per league match and 1.44 goals per match across the entire season.
Ruben Del Campo is the team’s top scorer with 9 goals, while Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores leads the team in assists with 6. Defensively, Morelia has conceded 29 goals in the league (an average of 1.12) and 31 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.15 over 27 matches).
Tepatitlán preview
In 27 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Tepatitlán has recorded 10 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.48 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 10 wins in 28 matches. The team has scored 37 goals, 35 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.3 goals per match), with Leonardo Sámano Salgado being the team's top scorer with 7 goals and Josué Gómez Del Rosal providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Alteños has conceded 23 goals in the league and 26 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.93 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Morelia vs Tepatitlán
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W D |
2 |
| Home | W W L W D |
2 |
| Away | L W D W D |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 54% | 31% |
| Goals | 2.5 | 2.23 | 2.77 |
| Scored | 1.38 | 1.46 | 1.31 |
| Conceded | 1.12 | 0.77 | 1.46 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 38% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 46% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 38% | 15% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 54% | 54% |
|
xG
|
1.59 | 1.89 | 1.29 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.02 | 1.66 |
Tepatitlán
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W D W |
2 |
| Home | W W W W D |
2.6 |
| Away | L D D W L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 37% | 50% | 23% |
| Goals | 2.15 | 2.36 | 1.92 |
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| Conceded | 0.85 | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 50% | 46% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 43% | 31% |
|
xG
|
1.65 | 1.74 | 1.55 |
|
xGA
|
1.3 | 1.21 | 1.39 |
Access all match stats for Morelia vs Tepatitlán
Where to watch Morelia vs Alteños live?
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.