Morelia and Tepatitlán face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón on Sunday, 15/03/2026, at 01:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Morelia vs Tepa, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Morelia vs Tepatitlán
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
Double Chance: Draw or Tepatitlán
APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
Morelia preview
Morelia comes into the match having played 26 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 11 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.58 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 11 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses.
Morelia's attack has scored 36 goals during this period. Out of this total, 36 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 1.38 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.38.
The offence system of Morelia is led by Ruben Del Campo as the top scorer of the season. The swiss forward has scored 8 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores, who has contributed with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 29 goals with an average of 1.12 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 29 goals conceded in 26 matches, resulting in an average of 1.12.
Alteños preview
On the other hand, Tepatitlán comes into the match having played 27 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 10 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.48 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 10 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses.
Tepatitlán's attack has scored 35 goals during this period. Out of this total, 35 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 1.3 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.3.
The offence system of Tepatitlán is led by Leonardo Sámano Salgado as the top scorer of the season. The mexican midfielder has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Josué Gómez Del Rosal, who has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 23 goals with an average of 0.85 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 23 goals conceded in 27 matches, resulting in an average of 0.85.
Head to head: Morelia vs Tepatitlán
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W W D |
1.58 |
| Home | W W L W D |
1.85 |
| Away | L W D W D |
1.31 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 54% | 31% |
| Goals | 2.5 | 2.23 | 2.77 |
| Scored | 1.38 | 1.46 | 1.31 |
| Conceded | 1.12 | 0.77 | 1.46 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 38% | 54% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 46% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 38% | 15% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 54% | 54% |
|
xG
|
1.59 | 1.89 | 1.29 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.02 | 1.66 |
Tepatitlán
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W D W |
1.48 |
| Home | W W W W D |
1.71 |
| Away | L D D W L |
1.23 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 37% | 50% | 23% |
| Goals | 2.15 | 2.36 | 1.92 |
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| Conceded | 0.85 | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 50% | 46% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 43% | 31% |
|
xG
|
1.65 | 1.74 | 1.55 |
|
xGA
|
1.3 | 1.21 | 1.39 |
Access all match stats for Morelia vs Tepatitlán
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