The kick off for the match between Morelia and Leones Negros will take place at 00:00 (UK time) - Monday, 10/27 - at the Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Morelia vs Leones Negros. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Morelia vs Leones Negros
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Morelia preview
Morelia has played 11 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 1.36 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Morelia's attack has scored 16 goals, 16 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.45 goals per league match and 1.45 goals per match across the entire season.
José Alonso Flores Ramírez is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, while Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores leads the team in assists with 5. Defensively, Morelia has conceded 18 goals in the league (an average of 1.64) and 18 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.64 over 11 matches).
Leones Negros preview
In 11 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Leones Negros has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.09 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 3 wins in 11 matches. The team has scored 14 goals, 14 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.27 goals per match), with Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago being the team's top scorer with 5 goals and Carlos Eduardo Fierro Guerrero providing 2 assists.
Defensively, Leones Negros has conceded 15 goals in the league and 15 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.36 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Morelia vs Leones Negros
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D L L L |
1.36 |
| Home | D L W W W |
2 |
| Away | W L L D L |
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 60% | 17% |
| Goals | 3.09 | 2.4 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.45 | 1.6 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.64 | 0.8 | 2.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 27% | 40% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 55% | 60% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.69 | 1.96 | 1.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.43 | 1.25 | 1.57 |
Away Team
Leones Negros
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W L L |
1.09 |
| Home | L W L D D |
1.33 |
| Away | L L D W L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.64 | 3.33 | 1.8 |
| Scored | 1.27 | 1.83 | 0.6 |
| Conceded | 1.36 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 17% | 60% |
| 1st to Score | 55% | 67% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.58 | 1.88 | 1.13 |
|
xGA
|
1.51 | 1.41 | 1.66 |
Access all match stats for Morelia vs Leones Negros
Where to watch Morelia vs Leones Negros live?
Check out the live stream of Morelia vs Leones Negros below and follow the match in real time.
