Morelia and Cancún face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX season. The game takes place at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón on Sunday, 01/02/2026, at 01:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Morelia vs Cancún, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Morelia vs Cancún

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

1st Half Under 1.5 Goals

APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Cancún to win the 1st half

Cancún to win the first half is our top tip for this match. The visitors have the tools on both ends of the pitch to give their hosts some serious trouble, which makes them such an intriguing bet.

Meanwhile, their half-time odds are also more appealing and bring better value than the result of the full match.

👉 Our prediction is: Cancún to win

Take Cancún lightly at your own risk. While they are playing away from home, they are still a dangerous opponent that is capable of causing an upset.

Indeed, we are tipping Cancún to win outright on the 1X2 market, where they are priced at 3.27 to win. We see Cancún matching up well with Morelia, and they have some weapons that can exploit the home side's vulnerabilities.

Morelia preview

Morelia comes into the match having played 20 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.55 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses.

Morelia's attack has scored 30 goals during this period. Out of this total, 30 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 1.5 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.5.

The offense system of Morelia is led by Ruben Del Campo as the top scorer of the season. The swiss forward has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores, who has contributed with 5 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 1.2 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 24 goals conceded in 20 matches, resulting in an average of 1.2.

Cancún preview

On the other hand, Cancún comes into the match having played 19 games in the Liga de Expansão MX so far. They have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.84 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 10 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses.

Cancún's attack has scored 31 goals during this period. Out of this total, 31 goals were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, averaging 1.63 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.63.

The offense system of Cancún is led by José Gabriel Rodríguez Novoa as the top scorer of the season. The colombian forward has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Jorge Roberto Díaz Price, who has contributed with 8 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 14 goals with an average of 0.74 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 14 goals conceded in 19 matches, resulting in an average of 0.74.

Head to head: Morelia vs Cancún

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Morelia Team Logo

Morelia

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W D D D

1.55

Home W D W D L

1.8

Away W D D W W

1.3

Away Team

Cancún Team Logo

Cancún

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D L W D L

1.84

Home D W D L W

2.1

Away L L D W W

1.56

Access all match stats for Morelia vs Cancún

Where to watch Morelia vs Cancún live?

Check out the live stream of Morelia vs Cancún below and follow the match in real time.

Published on 29 January 2026, at 20:31 Last updated on 29 January 2026, at 20:31
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.