Morelia and CA La Paz face each other on Sunday 03.01.2026, at 01:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Morelia's home ground, the Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Morelia and CA La Paz, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Morelia vs CA La Paz
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Morelia preview
Morelia heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 24 matches, Morelia secured 10 victories, 8 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.58 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Morelia's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 11 victories so far.
Morelia has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 35 goals, of which 34 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 1.42 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Ruben Del Campo, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Morelia has conceded 27 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.13 per game) and 27 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.08 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
CA La Paz preview
CA La Paz comes into the game with 19 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 6 victories, 8 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.37 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses.
CA La Paz's attack has been highly effective, scoring 33 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 1.74 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.65.
CA La Paz's offensive system is led by Martín Barragán Negrete, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican forward has found the back of the net 11 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Daniel Álvarez López. The forward has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 34 goals with an average of 1.79 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 35 goals in 20 matches, averaging 1.75 per match.
Head to head: Morelia vs CA La Paz
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D L W |
2 |
| Home | W L W D W |
2 |
| Away | W D W D D |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.54 | 2.33 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.42 | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 0.83 | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 42% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 42% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 42% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 50% | 58% |
|
xG
|
1.62 | 1.89 | 1.36 |
|
xGA
|
1.32 | 1.04 | 1.61 |
CA La Paz
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D W D |
1.8 |
| Home | W D L D L |
1 |
| Away | D D W W L |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 32% | 33% | 30% |
| Goals | 3.53 | 3.67 | 3.4 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 1.67 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.79 | 2 | 1.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 22% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 11% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 56% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.65 | 1.91 | 1.43 |
|
xGA
|
1.7 | 1.53 | 1.86 |
Access all match stats for Morelia vs CA La Paz
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