Milan vs Atalanta prediction
Italy - Serie A
Double Chance: Milan or Draw
Market: Double Chance: Milan or Draw · @ 1.22
Confidence
77%
Last updated: 14-10-2026
Milan Form and Insights
Milan hosts Atalanta at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) for this Serie A fixture. The match will kick off at 17:00 (UK Time) on 18/10/2026.
Their performance in the Serie A so far:
- 3 Wins
- 3 Draws
- 0 Losses
Offensive and defensive statistics:
- 11 goals scored
- 1.83 average goals per match
- 5 goals conceded
- 0.83 average goals conceded per match
- 15/10/2026SalzburgMilanW0415/10/2026UEFA Europa LeagueSalzburg
v.s
Milan0 - 4W - 11/10/2026SassuoloMilanD1111/10/2026Serie ASassuolo
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Milan1 - 1D - 20/09/2026MilanLecceW3020/09/2026Serie AMilan
v.s
Lecce3 - 0W - 16/09/2026MilanBenficaL0216/09/2026UEFA Europa LeagueMilan
v.s
Benfica0 - 2L - 12/09/2026LazioMilanD2212/09/2026Serie ALazio
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Milan2 - 2D
The Goddess Form and Insights
Atalanta has played 6 matches in the Serie A so far this season.
Here’s how the team comes into their match with Milan:
- 3 Wins
- 0 Draws
- 3 Losses
Goals scored and conceded:
- 8 goals scored
- 1.33 average goals per match
- 8 goals conceded
- 1.33 average goals conceded per match
- 15/10/2026AtalantaPaphosW3115/10/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAtalanta
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Paphos3 - 1W - 12/10/2026AtalantaVeneziaW3112/10/2026Serie AAtalanta
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Venezia3 - 1W - 20/09/2026JuventusAtalantaL2020/09/2026Serie AJuventus
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Atalanta2 - 0L - 12/09/2026AtalantaCagliariL1212/09/2026Serie AAtalanta
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Cagliari1 - 2L - 05/09/2026RomaAtalantaL2105/09/2026Serie ARoma
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Atalanta2 - 1L
Head-to-Head Statistics
We have seen the match between Milan and Atalanta on the match calendar 35 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.
- Associazione Calcio Milan S.p.A. win - 13
- Atalanta win - 12
- Draw - 10
Milan
Home
Atalanta
Away
Points & Results
- PPG21.50
- 50%Wins50%
- 83%First to Score67%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.831.33
- Conceded/game0.831.33
- xG1.431.48
- xGA1.082.01
Trends
- 67%Both Score67%
- 33%Clean Sheet17%
- 0%Failed to Score17%
Access all match stats for Milan vs Atalanta
The last match was played on 10/05/2026 in the Serie A, and Atalanta won the match. The match ended in 2–3.
The 3-2 scoreline from Atalanta’s visit to San Siro in May disguises how much trouble Milan were in. Éderson, Davide Zappacosta and Giacomo Raspadori had put the visitors three goals ahead by the 51st minute; Milan only replied through Strahinja Pavlović in the 88th and Christopher Nkunku in stoppage time.
Those late goals made the finish uncomfortable, but Milan had left themselves far too much to repair. They cannot afford to spend another meeting chasing the game.
In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.
[match-teams-h2h-widget home_id=461 away_id=464 date_unix=1792339200 title="Head-to-Head Results" title_tag="div" league_id=13]
Players to Watch
APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.
The Rossoneri Top Players
- Rafael Leão has scored 9 goals so far this season.
- Christian Pulisic has given 4 assists this season.
The Goddess Top Players
- Gianluca Scamacca has scored 10 goals so far this season.
- Charles De Ketelaere has given 5 assists this season.
Betting Insights for Cards and Corners
If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Milan vs Atalanta match.
Milan Cards and Corners
- 2 average cards per match
- 0.5 average cards when playing at home
- 6.5 average corners per match
- 5 average corners when playing at home
Atalanta Cards and Corners
- 1.33 average cards per match
- 2.5 average cards when playing away
- 9.17 average corners per match
- 12 average corners when playing away
Match Details
- Match date: 18/10/2026
- Kick-off time: 17:00
- Competition: Serie A
- Game week: 7
- Stadium: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro)
How APWin Makes Its Predictions
Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.
Here's what we take into account:
- Historical match data
- Home and away performance trends
- Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics
- Betting market odds and line movement analysis
Double Chance: Milan or Draw
Market: Double Chance: Milan or Draw · @ 1.22
Confidence
77%
Last updated: 14-10-2026
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 12.72% | |
| 2 | 1 - 0 | 9.97% | |
| 3 | 2 - 1 | 9.65% | |
| 4 | 2 - 0 | 9.28% | |
| 5 | 0 - 0 | 7.83% | |
| 6 | 1 - 2 | 6.01% | |
| 7 | 0 - 1 | 5.78% | |
| 8 | 3 - 1 | 5.36% | |
| 9 | 3 - 0 | 5.16% | |
| 10 | 2 - 2 | 5.01% | |
| 11 | 0 - 2 | 3.60% | |
| 12 | 3 - 2 | 2.79% |
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Abhishek Nandwani
English Content Manager
76
Articles
Sports journalist with over 15 years of experience and 4 years working in the betting industry. I focus on football analysis, betting content, and turning match data into clear insights for readers.