Mexico welcomes England for a blockbuster FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16 showdown, with a place in the quarter-finals on the line. Javier Aguirre's side has enjoyed a flawless campaign so far, recording four straight victories without conceding a goal. Their latest success came in a 2-0 win over Ecuador in the Round of 32, with Julián Quiñones and Raúl Jiménez continuing to make the difference in attack.

England also arrives with momentum after defeating DR Congo 2-1 to progress from the Round of 32. Thomas Tuchel's squad boasts one of the tournament's strongest attacking line-ups, featuring Jude Bellingham and leading scorer Harry Kane, who has found the net five times already. Despite their attacking threat, England has looked more vulnerable at the back than Mexico, adding another fascinating dimension to this high-stakes encounter.

Read our Mexico vs England prediction before staking your money.

Mexico vs England prediction for the 2026 World Cup

It is do or die. That is exactly why the prediction below zeroes in on the strongest bet for this knockout World Cup tie.

Here is our pick:

APWin Prediction

No BTTS 2nd Half

Who are the favourites?

Based on the leading UK-licensed bookmakers, England is tipped to come out on top, with 40% of the odds leaning towards their win.

Looking for more? Browse all the World Cup odds and dig into this and other ties from the planet's biggest football tournament.

Mexico vs England: head-to-head

Mexico and England share no recent head-to-head record, so this is effectively their first meeting in years.

Mexico at the 2026 World Cup

Mexico arrive having already played 4 match(es) at the 2026 World Cup. Here is the record for Mexico National Team:

At the World Cup:

  • 4 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 0 loss(es)

  • 3 point(s) per game on average

  • 8 goals scored at the World Cup (2 per game)

  • 0 goals conceded at the World Cup (0 per game)

Mexico National Team in 2026

  • 10 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 0 loss(es) in all competitions

  • Leading scorer: Julián Andrés Quiñones Quiñones with 3 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Roberto Carlos Alvarado Hernández with 3

England at the 2026 World Cup

England go into this tie with 4 match(es) already behind them at the 2026 World Cup.

Here is what England National Team have managed so far:

At the World Cup

  • 3 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 0 loss(es)

  • 2.5 point(s) per game on average

  • 8 goals scored at the World Cup (2 per game)

  • 3 goals conceded at the World Cup (0.75 per game)

England National Team in 2026

  • 13 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in all competitions

  • Leading scorer: Harry Kane with 8 goal(s)

  • Most assists: Declan Rice with 4

Mexico vs England statistics at the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Before you stake anything, look over the side-by-side comparison that sheds light on each nation's current form for this World Cup tie:

Home Team

Mexico Team Logo

Mexico

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W W W W

3

Home W W W W W

3

Away W W W

3

Away Team

England Team Logo

England

International - World Cup

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W D W W

2.6

Home W D W W W

2.6

Away W W W W

3

Mexico vs England probable lineups

See the likely starting elevens below for our Mexico vs England prediction at the 2026 World Cup.

Mexico Predicted XI: J. Gallardo, J. Vasquez, C. Montes, J. Sanchez, L. Romo, E. Lira, G. Mora, J. Quinones, R. Jimenez, R. Alvarado, R. Rangel

England Predicted XI: Jordan Pickford, Djed Spence, Ezri Konsa, Marc Guehi, Nico O'Reilly, Elliot Anderson, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon, Harry Kane

The confirmed lineups will be available close to the kickoff time.

How to watch Mexico vs England live in the UK

Find out below where you can catch Mexico vs England live during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Just remember, kick-off is at 01:00 UK time.

For the full schedule, check our our World Cup live streaming page.

Watch this match

Mexico logo
X
England logo
Where to Watch

More betting tips for this match

Alongside the main tip given at the top of this article, here are some other strong bets for Mexico vs England:

👉 Our prediction is: England win or draw

Even though England will be the away side in this matchup, we do not expect them to go down in defeat. We recommend betting on England to win or draw in the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw will win the bet.

England does have its share of flaws, but Mexico has also looked quite vulnerable of late, and not even being at home might be enough for them to avoid dropping points to England.

Further 2026 World Cup predictions

Browse all of our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and keep up with the sharpest analysis from start to finish of the tournament.

Match details: Mexico vs England

🆚 Fixture Mexico vs England

🏆 Tournament 2026 FIFA World Cup

📅 Date Monday, 06/07/2026

🕐 Kick-off 01:00 UK time

🏟️ Venue Lumen Field, 800 Occidental Avenue South

Bet responsibly

Betting should stay a bit of fun. Set yourself limits, keep control, and never wager more than you can comfortably afford to lose.

If betting stops being enjoyable or starts to feel like a problem, reach out to GambleAware or GamCare for support.

Published on 3 July 2026, at 01:18 Last updated on 3 July 2026, at 01:24
Author: Gustavo Porto

Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.