APWin Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Mainz 05 Form and Insights

Mainz 05 hosts Union Berlin at the MEWA ARENA (Stadion am Europakreisel) for this Bundesliga fixture. The match will kick off at 18:30 (UK Time) on 10/05/2026.

Their performance in the Bundesliga so far:

  • 9 Wins

  • 10 Draws

  • 13 Losses

Offensive and defensive statistics:

  • 41 goals scored

  • 1.28 average goals per match

  • 50 goals conceded

  • 1.56 average goals conceded per match

The Iron Ones Form and Insights

Union Berlin has played 32 matches in the Bundesliga so far this season.

Here’s how the team comes into their match with Mainz 05:

  • 8 Wins

  • 9 Draws

  • 15 Losses

Goals scored and conceded:

  • 37 goals scored

  • 1.16 average goals per match

  • 57 goals conceded

  • 1.78 average goals conceded per match

Head-to-Head Statistics

We have seen the match between Mainz 05 and Union Berlin on the match calendar 13 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.

  • 1. Fußball- und Sportverein Mainz 05 e. V. win - 17

  • Union Berlin win - 10

  • Draw - 5

Home Team

Mainz 05 Team Logo

Mainz 05

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L D L L

0.8

Home L L W W W

1.8

Away W D L W W

2

Away Team

Union Berlin Team Logo

Union Berlin

Germany - Bundesliga

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D L L L D

0.4

Home D L D L W

1

Away L L L W L

0.6

Access all match stats for Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin

The last match was played on 10/01/2026 in the Bundesliga and ended in a 2–2 draw.

In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.

Players to Watch

APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.

The Nullfünfer Top Players

  • Nadiem Amiri has scored 11 goals so far this season.

  • Benedict Hollerbach has given 3 assists this season.

The Iron Ones Top Players

  • Danilho Doekhi has scored 5 goals so far this season.

  • Andrej Ilić has given 9 assists this season.

Betting Insights for Cards and Corners

If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin match.

Mainz 05 Cards and Corners

  • 2.34 average cards per match

  • 2.13 average cards when playing at home

  • 9.5 average corners per match

  • 9.63 average corners when playing at home

Union Berlin Cards and Corners

  • 2.25 average cards per match

  • 1.81 average cards when playing away

  • 9.57 average corners per match

  • 9.69 average corners when playing away

Additional Betting Tips

After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.

Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

Based on our analysis, Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.

The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.

👉 Our prediction is: Union Berlin to win the 1st half

Union Berlin to win the first half is our top tip for this match. The visitors have the tools on both ends of the pitch to give their hosts some serious trouble, which makes them such an intriguing bet.

Meanwhile, their half-time odds are also more appealing and bring better value than the result of the full match.

Match Details

  • Match date: 10/05/2026

  • Kick-off time: 18:30

  • Competition: Bundesliga

  • Game week: 33

  • Stadium: MEWA ARENA (Stadion am Europakreisel)

How APWin Makes Its Predictions

Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.

Here's what we take into account:

  • Historical match data

  • Home and away performance trends

  • Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics

  • Betting market odds and line movement analysis

APWin Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Published on 9 May 2026, at 13:35 Last updated on 9 May 2026, at 13:35
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.