Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction | Premier League | 17/01
England - Premier League
Under 3.5 Goals
Market: Under 3.5 Goals · @ 1.45
Last updated: 30-04-2026
Liverpool Form and Insights
Liverpool hosts Burnley at the Anfield Stadium for this Premier League fixture. The match will kick off at 15:00 (UK Time) on 17/01/2026.
Their performance in the Premier League so far:
10 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Offensive and defensive statistics:
32 goals scored
1.52 average goals per match
28 goals conceded
32 average goals conceded per match
- 20/10/2026LiverpoolVillarrealW4320/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool
v.s
Villarreal4 - 3W - 17/10/2026BrentfordLiverpoolW1217/10/2026Premier LeagueBrentford
v.s
Liverpool1 - 2W - 14/10/2026LASKLiverpoolW3614/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueLASK
v.s
Liverpool3 - 6W - 11/10/2026LiverpoolManchester CityL0311/10/2026Premier LeagueLiverpool
v.s
Manchester City0 - 3L - 20/09/2026BournemouthLiverpoolW0120/09/2026Premier LeagueBournemouth
v.s
Liverpool0 - 1W
Burnley Form and Insights
Burnley has played 21 matches in the Premier League so far this season.
Here’s how the team comes into their match with Liverpool:
3 Wins
4 Draws
14 Losses
Goals scored and conceded:
22 goals scored
1.05 average goals per match
41 goals conceded
22 average goals conceded per match
- 24/10/2026Lincoln CityBurnleyL4124/10/2026ChampionshipLincoln City
v.s
Burnley4 - 1L - 16/10/2026BurnleyWolverhamptonL1216/10/2026ChampionshipBurnley
v.s
Wolverhampton1 - 2L - 13/10/2026BurnleyCharlton AthleticD2213/10/2026ChampionshipBurnley
v.s
Charlton Athletic2 - 2D - 10/10/2026WatfordBurnleyW0410/10/2026ChampionshipWatford
v.s
Burnley0 - 4W - 19/09/2026BurnleyDerby CountyD1119/09/2026ChampionshipBurnley
v.s
Derby County1 - 1D
Head-to-Head Statistics
We have seen the match between Liverpool and Burnley on the match calendar 19 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.
Liverpool win - 16
Burnley win - 5
Draw - 2
Liverpool
Home
Burnley
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.670.62
- 48%Wins14%
- 52%First to Score29%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.521.05
- Conceded/game1.331.95
- xG1.651.05
- xGA1.251.84
Trends
- 57%Both Score57%
- 33%Clean Sheet14%
- 19%Failed to Score33%
Access all match stats for Liverpool vs Burnley
The last match was played on 14/09/2025 in the Premier League, and Liverpool won the match. The match ended in 0–1.
In the table below you can find the head to head results of the last few meetings.
[match-teams-h2h-widget home_id=151 away_id=145 date_unix=1768662000 title="Head-to-Head Results" title_tag="div" league_id=4]
Players to Watch
APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal scoring markets.
Liverpool Top Players
Hugo Ekitike has scored 8 goals so far this season.
Mohamed Salah has given 3 assists this season.
Burnley Top Players
Jaidon Anthony has scored 5 goals so far this season.
Quilindschy Hartman has given 4 assists this season.
Betting Insights for Cards and Corners
If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Liverpool vs Burnley match.
Liverpool Cards and Corners
1.71 average cards per match
1.1 average cards when playing at home
9.62 average corners per match
10 average corners when playing at home
Burnley Cards and Corners
1.67 average cards per match
2.1 average cards when playing away
9.67 average corners per match
10.4 average corners when playing away
Additional Betting Tips
After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.
Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.
Our prediction is: Liverpool win or draw
Our top betting tip is Liverpool to win or draw on the Double Chance market. What that means is Liverpool, the home team, must win or draw for the bet to win, and we feel strongly that the match will end in one of those two outcomes.
We simply don't see Liverpool losing to Burnley. More than the gulf in quality between the two sides which is clear to see in the statistics, we also have a lot of belief in Liverpool's ability to make home advantage count in this match.
Our prediction is: Both teams don't score
Looking at the current form of both teams, betting the 'no' on the Both Teams to Score market seems like the smart way to go.
It's hard to see both teams getting goals in this match. The two defences have been quite solid, while the offences have had a hard time in front of goal. With that combination, this match could very well be a low-scoring affair with one or none of the teams finding the back of the net.
Match Details
Match date: 17/01/2026
Kick-off time: 15:00
Competition: Premier League
Game week: 22
Stadium: Anfield Stadium
How APWin Makes Its Predictions
Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcome. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.
Here's what we take into account:
Historical match data
Home and away performance trends
Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics
Betting market odds and line movement analysis
Under 3.5 Goals
Market: Under 3.5 Goals · @ 1.45
Last updated: 30-04-2026

Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.