The kick off for the match between Leones Negros and Venados will take place at 19:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 11/02 - at the Estadio Jalisco. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Leones Negros vs Venados. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Leones Negros vs Venados
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Double Chance: Home or Away
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Leones Negros preview
Leones Negros has played 12 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses. This results in an average of 1.25 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses. Leones Negros's attack has scored 17 goals, 17 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.42 goals per league match and 1.42 goals per match across the entire season.
Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Édson Ulises Rivera Vargas leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Leones Negros has conceded 17 goals in the league (an average of 1.42) and 17 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.42 over 12 matches).
Venados preview
In 12 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Venados has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.25 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 4 wins in 12 matches. The team has scored 24 goals, 24 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 2 goals per match), with Juan José Calero Sierra being the team's top scorer with 13 goals and Waldo Madrid providing 7 assists.
Defensively, Venados has conceded 28 goals in the league and 28 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 2.33 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Leones Negros vs Venados
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Leones Negros
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L W L |
1.25 |
| Home | L W L D D |
1.33 |
| Away | W L L D W |
1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.42 | 1.83 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.42 | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 58% | 67% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.55 | 1.88 | 1.15 |
|
xGA
|
1.6 | 1.41 | 1.83 |
Venados
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L W W W |
1.25 |
| Home | D W W D D |
1.5 |
| Away | L W L W L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Goals | 4.33 | 4 | 4.67 |
| Scored | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Conceded | 2.33 | 2 | 2.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 58% | 50% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.41 | 1.63 | 1.19 |
|
xGA
|
1.79 | 1.8 | 1.78 |
Access all match stats for Leones Negros vs Venados
Where to watch Leones Negros vs Venados live?
Check out the live stream of Leones Negros vs Venados below and follow the match in real time.
Journalist since 2016, post-graduate during pandemic, and in love with football since child. Sporting was always part of the Gustavo's life, be practicing, watching, making the coverage, and a few years prae here, betting.