Leones Negros and Tepatitlán face each other on Sunday 02.15.2026, at 18:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Leones Negros's home ground, the Estadio Jalisco.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Leones Negros and Tepa, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Leones Negros vs Tepa
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Leones Negros preview
Leones Negros heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 21 matches, Leones Negros secured 8 victories, 4 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 1.33 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Leones Negros's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 8 victories so far.
Leones Negros has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 28 goals, of which 28 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 1.33 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Édson Ulises Rivera Vargas has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, Leones Negros has conceded 33 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.57 per game) and 33 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.57 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Tepatitlán preview
Tepatitlán comes into the game with 23 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 8 victories, 9 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.43 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses.
Tepa's attack has been highly effective, scoring 29 goals during this period. Of that total, 29 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 1.26 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.26.
Alteños's offensive system is led by Leonardo Sámano Salgado, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican midfielder has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Josué Gómez Del Rosal. The forward has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 21 goals with an average of 0.91 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 21 goals in 23 matches, averaging 0.91 per match.
Head to head: Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Leones Negros
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L W |
0.8 |
| Home | D W W W L |
2 |
| Away | L L L L W |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.9 | 2.7 | 3.09 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.57 | 1 | 2.09 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 50% | 55% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 40% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 20% | 36% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 70% | 55% |
|
xG
|
1.55 | 1.86 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.62 | 1.44 | 1.81 |
Tepatitlán
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D W W D |
2.2 |
| Home | W W D L W |
2 |
| Away | D W L D D |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 42% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.17 | 2.17 | 2.18 |
| Scored | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.27 |
| Conceded | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.91 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 50% | 55% |
| Without Conceding | 30% | 33% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 25% | 36% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 33% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.63 | 1.71 | 1.55 |
|
xGA
|
1.26 | 1.19 | 1.34 |
Access all match stats for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán
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