The kick off for the match between Leones Negros and Tepatitlán will take place at 18:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 02/15 - at the Estadio Jalisco. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Leones Negros preview
Leones Negros has played 21 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses. This results in an average of 1.33 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses. Leones Negros's attack has scored 28 goals, 28 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.33 goals per league match and 1.33 goals per match across the entire season.
Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago is the team’s top scorer with 8 goals, while Édson Ulises Rivera Vargas leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Leones Negros has conceded 33 goals in the league (an average of 1.57) and 33 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.57 over 21 matches).
Tepatitlán preview
In 23 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Tepatitlán has recorded 8 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.43 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 8 wins in 23 matches. The team has scored 29 goals, 29 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.26 goals per match), with Leonardo Sámano Salgado being the team's top scorer with 6 goals and Josué Gómez Del Rosal providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Tepatitlán has conceded 21 goals in the league and 21 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.91 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Leones Negros
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L W |
1.33 |
| Home | D W W W L |
1.8 |
| Away | L L L L W |
0.91 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.9 | 2.7 | 3.09 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.57 | 1 | 2.09 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 50% | 55% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 40% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 20% | 36% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 70% | 55% |
|
xG
|
1.55 | 1.86 | 1.24 |
|
xGA
|
1.62 | 1.44 | 1.81 |
Tepatitlán
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D W W D |
1.43 |
| Home | W W D L W |
1.5 |
| Away | D W L D D |
1.36 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 42% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.17 | 2.17 | 2.18 |
| Scored | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.27 |
| Conceded | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.91 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 50% | 55% |
| Without Conceding | 30% | 33% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 25% | 36% |
| 1st to Score | 62% | 33% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.63 | 1.71 | 1.55 |
|
xGA
|
1.26 | 1.19 | 1.34 |
Access all match stats for Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán
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