León and Necaxa face each other on Sunday 03.01.2026, at 01:06 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at León's home ground, the .

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Los Panzas Verdes and Los Rayos, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Los Panzas Verdes vs Los Rayos

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: Necaxa win or draw

Our evaluations have shown there is not much separating León and Necaxa overall. But given the extra betting edge that comes with the Double Chance market, where a win or a draw is enough to win the bet, we recommend taking Necaxa to win or draw in this match.

With odds of 1.51, there is a good deal of value on Necaxa to pull off a potential upset away from home against León, who have not been in the best form of late.

👉 Our prediction is: León to win the 1st half

Our top betting tip for the León vs Necaxa match is León to win the first half. While the half-time market is not one of the more well-known betting markets, it often offers better value odds than wins over 90 minutes.

We see this value in León, which has been in impressive form at home and regularly gets out to quick starts. They should have a favourable matchup against Necaxa, who have had their share of struggles of late.

León preview

León heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 24 matches, Los Panzas Verdes secured 5 victories, 5 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining an average of 0.83 points per game.

Taking a broader look at La Fiera's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 5 victories so far.

León has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 21 goals, of which 21 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 0.88 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Ismael Díaz, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Iván Jared Moreno Füguemann has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, León has conceded 41 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1.71 per game) and 41 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.71 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.

Necaxa preview

Necaxa comes into the game with 24 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 7 victories, 5 draws, and 12 losses, maintaining an average of 1.08 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses.

Los Rayos's attack has been highly effective, scoring 33 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 1.38 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.38.

Los Electricistas's offensive system is led by Diber Cambindo, the team's top scorer this season. The colombian forward has found the back of the net 9 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Agustín Palavecino. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 43 goals with an average of 1.79 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 43 goals in 24 matches, averaging 1.79 per match.

Head to head: León vs Necaxa

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

León Team Logo

León

Mexico - Liga MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L L L D

0.83

Home W L W L D

1.25

Away L L D L L

0.42

Away Team

Necaxa Team Logo

Necaxa

Mexico - Liga MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L W W L L

1.08

Home L W L L W

1.25

Away W L W D W

0.92

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Published on 26 February 2026, at 20:31 Last updated on 26 February 2026, at 20:31
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.