Under 4.5 Goals
Market: Under 4.5 Goals · @ 1.21
Confidence
77%
Secondary prediction
Away Win
Last updated: 09-11-2026
Italy and France face each other in an official match of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League season. The game takes place at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Thursday, 12/11/2026, at 19:45 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Seleção da Itália vs France National Team, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
The Blues preview
Italy comes into the match having played 4 games in the UEFA Nations League so far. They have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 1.75 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2026/27 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 11 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses.
Italy's attack has scored 34 goals during this period. Out of this total, 8 goals were scored in the UEFA Nations League, averaging 2 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.13.
The offence system of Italy is led by Mateo Retegui as the top scorer of the season. The argentinian forward has scored 5 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Mateo Retegui, who has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 1.25 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 18 goals conceded in 16 matches, resulting in an average of 1.13.
- 05/10/2026ItalyTurkeyW3105/10/2026UEFA Nations LeagueItaly
v.s
Turkey3 - 1W - 02/10/2026FranceItalyD1102/10/2026UEFA Nations LeagueFrance
v.s
Italy1 - 1D - 28/09/2026TurkeyItalyW1428/09/2026UEFA Nations LeagueTurkey
v.s
Italy1 - 4W - 25/09/2026ItalyBelgiumL0225/09/2026UEFA Nations LeagueItaly
v.s
Belgium0 - 2L - 07/06/2026GreeceItalyW0107/06/2026International FriendliesGreece
v.s
Italy0 - 1W
Les Bleus preview
On the other hand, France comes into the match having played 4 games in the UEFA Nations League so far. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 2.5 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2026/27 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 17 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses.
France's attack has scored 52 goals during this period. Out of this total, 7 goals were scored in the UEFA Nations League, averaging 1.75 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.36.
The offence system of France is led by Kylian Mbappé as the top scorer of the season. The french forward has scored 10 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Michael Olise, who has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 2 goals with an average of 0.5 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 21 goals conceded in 22 matches, resulting in an average of 0.95.
- 05/10/2026FranceBelgiumW4105/10/2026UEFA Nations LeagueFrance
v.s
Belgium4 - 1W - 02/10/2026FranceItalyD1102/10/2026UEFA Nations LeagueFrance
v.s
Italy1 - 1D - 28/09/2026BelgiumFranceW0128/09/2026UEFA Nations LeagueBelgium
v.s
France0 - 1W - 25/09/2026TurkeyFranceW0125/09/2026UEFA Nations LeagueTurkey
v.s
France0 - 1W - 18/07/2026FranceEnglandL4618/07/2026World CupFrance
v.s
England4 - 6L
Head to head: Italy vs France
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Italy
Home
France
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.752.50
- 50%Wins75%
- 50%First to Score75%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game21.75
- Conceded/game1.250.50
- xG1.712.15
- xGA1.881.03
Trends
- 75%Both Score50%
- 0%Clean Sheet50%
- 25%Failed to Score0%
Access all match stats for Italy vs France
Where to watch Italy vs France live?
Check out the live stream of Italy vs France below and follow the match in real time.
Watch this match
Italy vs France
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 11.27% | |
| 2 | 1 - 2 | 9.30% | |
| 3 | 2 - 1 | 7.10% | |
| 4 | 0 - 2 | 6.71% | |
| 5 | 2 - 2 | 6.44% | |
| 6 | 0 - 1 | 6.37% | |
| 7 | 1 - 3 | 5.63% | |
| 8 | 0 - 0 | 5.10% | |
| 9 | 1 - 0 | 4.62% | |
| 10 | 0 - 3 | 4.06% | |
| 11 | 2 - 0 | 3.91% | |
| 12 | 2 - 3 | 3.90% |