A place in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16 is at stake as France takes on Sweden at New York New Jersey Stadium in East Rutherford. France has looked among the strongest teams in the competition, while Sweden survived a challenging group to keep their World Cup hopes alive.
France topped their group with a perfect nine-point haul under Didier Deschamps, beating Senegal, Iraq and Norway while scoring 10 goals in the process. Sweden advanced as one of the tournament's best third-placed sides. Graham Potter's team began with an emphatic 5-1 victory over Tunisia but endured a heavy loss by the same scoreline against the Netherlands before recovering with a valuable 1-1 draw against Japan.
Read our France vs Sweden prediction before staking your money.
France vs Sweden prediction for the 2026 World Cup
It is do or die. That is exactly why the prediction below zeroes in on the strongest bet for this knockout World Cup tie.
Here is our pick:
BTTS - Yes
Who are the favourites?
Based on the leading UK-licensed bookmakers, France is tipped to come out on top, with 73% of the odds leaning towards their win.
Looking for more? Browse all the World Cup odds and dig into this and other ties from the planet's biggest football tournament.
France hold the head-to-head edge
France comes out ahead in the record against Sweden.
Across 4 meeting(s), the breakdown reads:
France: 3 win(s)
Sweden: 1 win(s)
Draws: 0
At the 2026 World Cup, that head-to-head edge is one more thing to factor into the France vs Sweden prediction.
France at the 2026 World Cup
France arrive having already played 3 match(es) at the 2026 World Cup. Here is the record for France National Team:
At the World Cup:
3 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 0 loss(es)
3 point(s) per game on average
10 goals scored at the World Cup (3.33 per game)
2 goals conceded at the World Cup (0.67 per game)
France National Team in 2026
11 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in all competitions
Leading scorer: Kylian Mbappé with 5 goal(s)
Most assists: Kylian Mbappé with 3
Sweden at the 2026 World Cup
Sweden go into this tie with 3 match(es) already behind them at the 2026 World Cup.
Here is what Sweden National Team have managed so far:
At the World Cup
1 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 1 loss(es)
1.33 point(s) per game on average
7 goals scored at the World Cup (2.33 per game)
7 goals conceded at the World Cup (2.33 per game)
Sweden National Team in 2026
3 win(s), 4 draw(s) and 6 loss(es) in all competitions
Leading scorer: Yasin Ayari with 2 goal(s)
Most assists: Alexander Isak with 3
France vs Sweden statistics at the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Before you stake anything, look over the side-by-side comparison that sheds light on each nation's current form for this World Cup tie:
France
International - World Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W L |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W L W |
2.4 |
| Away | W W W W D |
2.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Goals | 4 | 3.5 | 5 |
| Scored | 3.33 | 3 | 4 |
| Conceded | 0.67 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 100% | 100% | 100% |
|
xG
|
1.99 | 1.88 | 2.22 |
|
xGA
|
0.8 | 0.61 | 1.2 |
Sweden
International - World Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L W D L |
1 |
| Home | W D W D L |
1.6 |
| Away | D L L W L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 4.67 | 6 | 4 |
| Scored | 2.33 | 5 | 1 |
| Conceded | 2.33 | 1 | 3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 100% | 100% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.69 | 1.63 | 1.73 |
|
xGA
|
1.09 | 0.83 | 1.23 |
France vs Sweden probable lineups
See the likely starting eleven below for our France vs Sweden prediction at the 2026 World Cup.
France Probable XI: Mike Maignan, Jules Koundé, Dayot Upamecano, William Saliba, Theo Hernández, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Adrien Rabiot, Michael Olise, Ousmane Dembélé, Désiré Doué, Kylian Mbappé.
Sweden Probable XI: Jacob Widell Zetterström, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Victor Lindelöf, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Alexander Bernhardsson, Lucas Bergvall, Yasin Ayari, Elliot Stroud, Anthony Elanga, Viktor Gyökeres, Alexander Isak.
The confirmed lineups will be available close to the kickoff time.
-
4
Dayot Upamecano
Defender
-
5
Jules Koundé
Defender
-
6
Kouadio Kone
Midfielder
-
7
Ousmane Dembélé
-
8
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Midfielder
-
10
Kylian Mbappé
Forward
-
11
Michael Olise
Forward
-
16
Mike Maignan
Goalkeeper
-
19
Theo Hernández
Defender
-
20
Désiré Doué
-
26
Maxence Lacroix
Defender
-
1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
-
2
Gustaf Lagerbielke
-
3
Victor Lindelöf
-
4
Isak Hien
Defender
-
5
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Defender
-
9
Alexander Isak
Forward
-
11
Anthony Elanga
Forward
-
17
Viktor Gyökeres
Forward
-
18
Yasin Ayari
Midfielder
-
21
Alexander Bernhardsson
-
24
Elliot Stroud
How to watch France vs Sweden live in the UK
Find out below where you can catch France vs Sweden live during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Just remember, kick-off is at 22:00 UK time.
For the full schedule, check our our World Cup live streaming page.
More betting tips for this match
Alongside the main tip given at the top of this article, here are some other strong bets for France vs Sweden:
Further 2026 World Cup predictions
Browse all of our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and keep up with the sharpest analysis from start to finish of the tournament.
Match details: France vs Sweden
🆚 Fixture France vs Sweden
🏆 Tournament 2026 FIFA World Cup
📅 Date Tuesday, 30/06/2026
🕐 Kick-off 22:00 UK time
🏟️ Venue New York New Jersey Stadium
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.