The kick off for the match between Excelsior and Ajax will take place at 11:15 (UK time) - Sunday, 02/01 - at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. This clash of the 2025/26 Eredivisie looks very promising!

Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Excelsior vs Ajax. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.

APWin predictions for Excelsior vs Ajax

With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:

APWin Prediction

Over 7.5 Corners

After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

Defensive solidity should prove to be a major factor in this matchup. Both teams' backlines are rock solid, so scoring chances will be hard to come by.

As such, there is decent value to be had in betting 'no' on the Both Teams to Score market.

👉 Our prediction is: Excelsior win or draw

Our top betting tip is Excelsior to win or draw on the Double Chance market. What that means is Excelsior, the home team, must win or draw for the bet to win, and we feel strongly that the match will end in one of those two outcomes.

We simply don't see Excelsior losing to Ajax. More than the gulf in quality between the two sides which is clear to see in the statistics, we also have a lot of belief in Excelsior's ability to make home advantage count in this match.

Excelsior preview

Excelsior has played 20 matches in the Eredivisie so far, with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses. This results in an average of 1.1 points per match.

In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses. Excelsior's attack has scored 20 goals, 20 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1 goals per league match and 0.95 goals per match across the entire season.

Noah Naujoks is the team’s top scorer with 6 goals, while Derensili Sanches Fernandes leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Excelsior has conceded 35 goals in the league (an average of 1.75) and 36 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.71 over 21 matches).

Ajax preview

In 20 Eredivisie matches, Ajax has recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.85 points per game.

In the 2025/26 season, the team has 13 wins in 29 matches. The team has scored 53 goals, 39 of them in the Eredivisie (an average of 1.95 goals per match), with Mika Godts being the team's top scorer with 8 goals and Mika Godts providing 7 assists.

Defensively, Ajax has conceded 26 goals in the league and 53 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.83 goals conceded per match.

Head to head: Excelsior vs Ajax

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Excelsior Team Logo

Excelsior

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D D D L W

1.1

Home D W L W L

1.3

Away D D L W D

0.9

Away Team

Ajax Team Logo

Ajax

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W D W D W

1.85

Home W D W W L

2.09

Away W D W L W

1.56

Access all match stats for Excelsior vs Ajax

Where to watch Excelsior vs Ajax live?

Check out the live stream of Excelsior vs Ajax below and follow the match in real time.

Published on 29 January 2026, at 20:32 Last updated on 29 January 2026, at 20:32
Author: Gustavo Porto

I am a journalist with ten years of experience in sports content, SEO, and digital marketing, focused on building and optimizing products for the iGaming industry. My background includes work as a sports TV reporter, producing news stories, writing for major digital portals, and delivering live broadcasts, as well as strategic roles in SEO, growth, and community management across WhatsApp and social media platforms. Throughout my career, I have combined editorial expertise, data-driven analysis, and performance-oriented strategies to drive audience growth and engagement.