Durango vs Leones Negros | Prediction | Liga de Expansão MX | 23/08
Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX
The kick off for the match between Durango and Leones Negros will take place at 02:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 08/23 - at the Estadio Francisco Zarco. This clash of the 2026/27 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Durango vs Leones Negros. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Durango vs Leones Negros
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
1st Half Draw
Market: 1st Half Draw · @ 2.20
Last updated: 19-08-2026
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Our prediction is: Leones Negros to win
Take Leones Negros lightly at your own risk. While they are playing away from home, they are still a dangerous opponent that is capable of causing an upset.
Indeed, we are tipping Leones Negros to win outright on the 1X2 market, where they are priced at 3.13 to win. We see Leones Negros matching up well with Durango, and they have some weapons that can exploit the home side's vulnerabilities.
Durango Preview
Durango has played 4 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. This results in an average of 1.5 points per match.
In the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 24 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. Durango's attack has scored 79 goals, 2 of them in the league, which gives an average of 0.5 goals per league match and 2.19 goals per match across the entire season.
Jared Torres Alexis is the team’s top scorer with 1 goals, while Juan David Angulo Ortíz leads the team in assists with 1. Defensively, Durango has conceded 5 goals in the league (an average of 1.25) and 27 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.75 over 36 matches).
- 24/10/2026VenadosDurangoL3224/10/2026Ascenso MXVenados
v.s
Durango3 - 2L - 18/10/2026DurangoTapatíoW5018/10/2026Ascenso MXDurango
v.s
Tapatío5 - 0W - 11/10/2026Jaiba BravaDurangoD0011/10/2026Ascenso MXJaiba Brava
v.s
Durango0 - 0D - 04/10/2026DurangoMineros de ZacatecasW4204/10/2026Ascenso MXDurango
v.s
Mineros de Zacatecas4 - 2W - 27/09/2026DoradosDurangoW0127/09/2026Ascenso MXDorados
v.s
Durango0 - 1W
Leones Negros preview
In 4 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Leones Negros has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 2.25 points per game.
In the 2026/27 season, the team has 12 wins in 34 matches. The team has scored 47 goals, 11 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 2.75 goals per match), with Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago being the team's top scorer with 9 goals and Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Leones Negros has conceded 5 goals in the league and 51 in the 2026/27 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.5 goals conceded per match.
- 25/10/2026Mineros de ZacatecasLeones NegrosW0225/10/2026Ascenso MXMineros de Zacatecas
v.s
Leones Negros0 - 2W - 18/10/2026Leones NegrosAtlético ZacatepecL1218/10/2026Ascenso MXLeones Negros
v.s
Atlético Zacatepec1 - 2L - 10/10/2026VenadosLeones NegrosD1110/10/2026Ascenso MXVenados
v.s
Leones Negros1 - 1D - 04/10/2026Leones NegrosDoradosW6304/10/2026Ascenso MXLeones Negros
v.s
Dorados6 - 3W - 26/09/2026Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones NegrosW1226/09/2026Ascenso MXCruz Azul Hidalgo
v.s
Leones Negros1 - 2W
Head to head: Durango vs Leones Negros
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Durango
Home
Leones Negros
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.502.25
- 50%Wins75%
- 50%First to Score100%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game0.502.75
- Conceded/game1.251.25
- xG1.141.93
- xGA1.681.29
Trends
- 0%Both Score50%
- 50%Clean Sheet50%
- 50%Failed to Score0%
Access all match stats for Durango vs Leones Negros
Where to watch Durango vs Leones Negros live?
Check out the live stream of Durango vs Leones Negros below and follow the match in real time.
Watch this match
Durango vs Leones Negros
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 12.63% | |
| 2 | 1 - 2 | 9.60% | |
| 3 | 0 - 1 | 9.14% | |
| 4 | 0 - 2 | 8.60% | |
| 5 | 0 - 0 | 7.30% | |
| 6 | 2 - 1 | 6.41% | |
| 7 | 1 - 0 | 5.72% | |
| 8 | 2 - 2 | 5.36% | |
| 9 | 1 - 3 | 5.35% | |
| 10 | 0 - 3 | 4.79% | |
| 11 | 2 - 0 | 3.83% | |
| 12 | 2 - 3 | 2.99% |