Durango vs Leones Negros | Prediction | Liga de Expansão MX | 23/08

Mexico - Liga de Expansão MX

1 - 2

22 Aug 2026 21:00

The kick off for the match between Durango and Leones Negros will take place at 02:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 08/23 - at the Estadio Francisco Zarco. This clash of the 2026/27 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!

Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Durango vs Leones Negros. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.

APWin predictions for Durango vs Leones Negros

With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:

1st Half Draw

Market: 1st Half Draw · @ 2.20

2.20

Last updated: 19-08-2026

After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.

Our prediction is: Leones Negros to win

Take Leones Negros lightly at your own risk. While they are playing away from home, they are still a dangerous opponent that is capable of causing an upset.

Indeed, we are tipping Leones Negros to win outright on the 1X2 market, where they are priced at 3.13 to win. We see Leones Negros matching up well with Durango, and they have some weapons that can exploit the home side's vulnerabilities.

Durango Preview

Durango has played 4 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. This results in an average of 1.5 points per match.

In the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 24 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. Durango's attack has scored 79 goals, 2 of them in the league, which gives an average of 0.5 goals per league match and 2.19 goals per match across the entire season.

Jared Torres Alexis is the team’s top scorer with 1 goals, while Juan David Angulo Ortíz leads the team in assists with 1. Defensively, Durango has conceded 5 goals in the league (an average of 1.25) and 27 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.75 over 36 matches).

Leones Negros preview

In 4 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Leones Negros has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 2.25 points per game.

In the 2026/27 season, the team has 12 wins in 34 matches. The team has scored 47 goals, 11 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 2.75 goals per match), with Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago being the team's top scorer with 9 goals and Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago providing 4 assists.

Defensively, Leones Negros has conceded 5 goals in the league and 51 in the 2026/27 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.5 goals conceded per match.

Head to head: Durango vs Leones Negros

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Durango

Home

LLWWD
VS

Leones Negros

Away

WLWWL

Points & Results

  • 1.50
    PPG
    2.25
  • 50%
    Wins
    75%
  • 50%
    First to Score
    100%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.50
    Scored/game
    2.75
  • 1.25
    Conceded/game
    1.25
  • 1.14
    xG
    1.93
  • 1.68
    xGA
    1.29

Trends

  • 0%
    Both Score
    50%
  • 50%
    Clean Sheet
    50%
  • 50%
    Failed to Score
    0%

Access all match stats for Durango vs Leones Negros

Where to watch Durango vs Leones Negros live?

Check out the live stream of Durango vs Leones Negros below and follow the match in real time.

Durango logoVSLeones Negros logo

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Durango vs Leones Negros

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Likely Scores

#ScoreProbability%
11 - 1
12.63%
21 - 2
9.60%
30 - 1
9.14%
40 - 2
8.60%
50 - 0
7.30%
62 - 1
6.41%
71 - 0
5.72%
82 - 2
5.36%
91 - 3
5.35%
100 - 3
4.79%
112 - 0
3.83%
122 - 3
2.99%
Published: 20 Aug 2026
Updated: 20 Aug 2026