Derby County and Stoke City face each other on Monday 04.06.2026, at 15:00 (UK Time), in a EFL Championship 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Derby County's home ground, the Pride Park Stadium.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Derby County (The Rams) Limited and Stoke City Football Club Limited, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Derby County vs Stoke City
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Derby County Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Derby County preview
Derby County heads into the match with the following record in the EFL Championship: in 39 matches, Derby County (The Rams) Limited secured 17 victories, 9 draws, and 13 losses, maintaining an average of 1.54 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Rams's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 17 victories so far.
Derby County has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 59 goals, of which 56 were scored in the EFL Championship, resulting in an average of 1.44 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Carlton Morris, who has found the back of the net 10 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Joe Ward has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, Derby County has conceded 48 goals in the EFL Championship (an average of 1.23 per game) and 54 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.29 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Stoke City preview
Stoke City comes into the game with 39 matches played so far in the EFL Championship. They have secured 14 victories, 9 draws, and 16 losses, maintaining an average of 1.31 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 15 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses.
Stoke City Football Club Limited's attack has been highly effective, scoring 48 goals during this period. Of that total, 46 were netted in the EFL Championship, with an average of 1.18 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.12.
The Potters's offensive system is led by Sorba Thomas, the team's top scorer this season. The english forward has found the back of the net 10 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Sorba Thomas. The forward has contributed with 9 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 43 goals with an average of 1.1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 48 goals in 43 matches, averaging 1.12 per match.
Head to head: Derby County vs Stoke City
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W L W |
1.8 |
| Home | W W W W L |
2.4 |
| Away | L W L L L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 40% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.73 | 2.6 | 2.85 |
| Scored | 1.45 | 1.35 | 1.55 |
| Conceded | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 65% | 70% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 5% | 15% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 45% | 60% |
|
xG
|
1.21 | 1.3 | 1.12 |
|
xGA
|
1.44 | 1.25 | 1.62 |
Stoke City
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W D L |
1.4 |
| Home | W W D W D |
2.2 |
| Away | L L L L D |
0.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 45% | 30% |
| Goals | 2.28 | 2.6 | 1.95 |
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.55 | 0.85 |
| Conceded | 1.08 | 1.05 | 1.1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 55% | 30% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 30% | 35% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 25% | 45% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 60% | 45% |
|
xG
|
1.3 | 1.49 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.24 | 1.55 |
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