Derby County vs Birmingham City: prediction, where to watch, kick-off time and line-ups - 12/09

Main prediction: Birmingham City to win in regular time

Alternative tip: double chance Birmingham City

Other market: over 10.5 corners

Derby County and Birmingham City have a track record that never disappoints football fans.

The two teams meet this 12/09 (Saturday), at Pride Park Stadium, at 12:30, and the EFL Championship 2026/27 gets another chapter of this rivalry.

In their last 5 across all competitions, Derby County have won 1 time(s) and score 0.8 goals per match. Meanwhile, Birmingham City have won 1 time(s). Birmingham City have a 42.19% chance of winning according to the bookmakers.

See the probable line-ups, match details, where to watch and the prediction for Derby County vs Birmingham City.

Prediction for Derby County vs Birmingham City

Overview Derby County vs Birmingham City

Birmingham City are favourites, with a 42.19% chance of winning according to the bookmakers. The odds for a Birmingham City Football Club Limited win are at 2.37 and a draw at 3.704.

In the English Championship, Derby County have accumulated 1 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 3 defeat(s), with 5 goal(s) scored and 10 conceded. Samuel Szmodics leads the scoring chart with 2 goal(s). Meanwhile, Birmingham City have accumulated 1 win(s), 4 draw(s) and 0 defeat(s), with 7 goal(s) scored and 6 conceded, with Phil Neumann as top scorer with 2 goal(s).

Head-to-head between Derby County and Birmingham City

In 28 clashes, Derby County have the advantage over Birmingham City: 11 win(s) against 6 and 11 draw(s). The most recent was on 21/03/2026, in the EFL Championship. Derby County won on that occasion.

The dominance in the head-to-head record is a factor that goes into the predictions for Derby County vs Birmingham City, but it does not define the result alone. The context of the tournament and each team's form weigh just as much as the record.

Check out all the predictions for the EFL Championship and see all the analysis before you bet.

Derby County: current form

Derby County are going through a difficult patch: 3 defeats in their last 5 matches across all competitions. A positive result here would be important to restore confidence.

See the numbers in the EFL Championship 2026/27:

1 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 defeat(s)

Performance: 0.8 point(s) per match

5 goals scored (1 per match)

Top scorer: Samuel Szmodics (2 goal(s))

Birmingham City: current form

For the visitors, Birmingham City have played 5 match(es) in the English Championship.

See their performance:

• 1 win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 defeat(s)

• Performance: 1.4 point(s) per match

• 7 goals scored (1.4 per match)

• Top scorer: Phil Neumann (2 goal(s))

Derby County vs Birmingham City key players

In the EFL Championship, Samuel Szmodics carries Derby County (The Rams) Limited's attack with 2 goal(s).

The playmaker is Bobby Clark, leading in assists with 2. In the whole season, Carlton Morris has 12 goal(s).

On the other side, Phil Neumann is the name that frightens the most for The Blues with 2 goal(s) in the EFL Championship.

In terms of playmaking, Patrick Roberts leads in assists with 2. In the whole season, Jay Stansfield has accumulated 10 goal(s).

Derby County vs Birmingham City statistics in the EFL Championship

Derby County have an average of 11.6 corners and 3 cards per match. Meanwhile, Birmingham City have 9.8 corners and 1.8 cards. See the numbers for Derby County vs Birmingham City in the table below.

Derby County

Home

LLWLD

VS

Birmingham City

Away

LDDWL

OverallHome / Away

Points & Results

• 0.67
  PPG
  1.17
• 17%
  Wins
  17%
• 33%
  First to Score
  17%

Goals Scored & Conceded

• 0.83
  Scored/game
  1.33
• 1.83
  Conceded/game
  1.33
• 1.31
  xG
  1.39
• 1.77
  xGA
  1.23

Trends

• 33%
  Both Score
  83%
• 17%
  Clean Sheet
  17%
• 50%
  Failed to Score
  17%

More tips for Derby County vs Birmingham City

In addition to the main prediction, see other betting markets for Derby County vs Birmingham City in the EFL Championship:

Correct score prediction for Derby County vs Birmingham City

Birmingham City are the favourites in the odds in this clash. With the available data, we project a narrow win. Probable score: Derby County 0-1 Birmingham City. The correct result is the market with the highest variance. Bet with awareness.

Where to watch Derby County vs Birmingham City

Check out where to watch the live match between Birmingham City and Derby County:

Broadcast: no broadcast scheduled

Predicted line-ups for Derby County and Birmingham City

The line-ups for Derby County vs Birmingham City in the English Championship are officially confirmed between 45 minutes and 1 hour before the match, via the referee's official team sheet and the clubs' social media channels.

Follow below who is expected to take to the pitch.

Derby County (The Rams) Limited line-up

The starting eleven is confirmed minutes before kick-off.

Birmingham City Football Club Limited line-up

The Birmingham City starting eleven is confirmed close to the initial whistle.

Match details for Derby County vs Birmingham City

Match: Derby County vs Birmingham City

Tournament: English Championship 2026/27

Date: 12/09/2026

Time: 12:30 (Brasília time)

Venue: Pride Park Stadium

Broadcast: none scheduled

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