Main prediction: Birmingham City to win in regular time
Alternative tip: double chance Birmingham City
Other market: over 10.5 corners
Derby County and Birmingham City have a track record that never disappoints football fans.
The two teams meet this 12/09 (Saturday), at Pride Park Stadium, at 12:30, and the EFL Championship 2026/27 gets another chapter of this rivalry.
In their last 5 across all competitions, Derby County have won 1 time(s) and score 0.8 goals per match. Meanwhile, Birmingham City have won 1 time(s). Birmingham City have a 42.19% chance of winning according to the bookmakers.
See the probable line-ups, match details, where to watch and the prediction for Derby County vs Birmingham City.
Prediction for Derby County vs Birmingham City
Double Chance: Draw or Birmingham City
Overview Derby County vs Birmingham City
Birmingham City are favourites, with a 42.19% chance of winning according to the bookmakers. The odds for a Birmingham City Football Club Limited win are at 2.37 and a draw at 3.704.
In the English Championship, Derby County have accumulated 1 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 3 defeat(s), with 5 goal(s) scored and 10 conceded. Samuel Szmodics leads the scoring chart with 2 goal(s). Meanwhile, Birmingham City have accumulated 1 win(s), 4 draw(s) and 0 defeat(s), with 7 goal(s) scored and 6 conceded, with Phil Neumann as top scorer with 2 goal(s).
Head-to-head between Derby County and Birmingham City
In 28 clashes, Derby County have the advantage over Birmingham City: 11 win(s) against 6 and 11 draw(s). The most recent was on 21/03/2026, in the EFL Championship. Derby County won on that occasion.
The dominance in the head-to-head record is a factor that goes into the predictions for Derby County vs Birmingham City, but it does not define the result alone. The context of the tournament and each team's form weigh just as much as the record.
Check out all the predictions for the EFL Championship and see all the analysis before you bet.
Derby County: current form
Derby County are going through a difficult patch: 3 defeats in their last 5 matches across all competitions. A positive result here would be important to restore confidence.
See the numbers in the EFL Championship 2026/27:
1 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 defeat(s)
Performance: 0.8 point(s) per match
5 goals scored (1 per match)
Top scorer: Samuel Szmodics (2 goal(s))
Birmingham City: current form
For the visitors, Birmingham City have played 5 match(es) in the English Championship.
See their performance:
1 win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 defeat(s)
Performance: 1.4 point(s) per match
7 goals scored (1.4 per match)
Top scorer: Phil Neumann (2 goal(s))
Derby County vs Birmingham City key players
In the EFL Championship, Samuel Szmodics carries Derby County (The Rams) Limited's attack with 2 goal(s).
The playmaker is Bobby Clark, leading in assists with 2. In the whole season, Carlton Morris has 12 goal(s).
On the other side, Phil Neumann is the name that frightens the most for The Blues with 2 goal(s) in the EFL Championship.
In terms of playmaking, Patrick Roberts leads in assists with 2. In the whole season, Jay Stansfield has accumulated 10 goal(s).
Derby County vs Birmingham City statistics in the EFL Championship
Derby County have an average of 11.6 corners and 3 cards per match. Meanwhile, Birmingham City have 9.8 corners and 1.8 cards. See the numbers for Derby County vs Birmingham City in the table below.
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W L D |
0.8 |
| Home | L L D L L |
0.2 |
| Away | L W L W L |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.83 | 2 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 33% | 0% | 67% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.54 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.77 | 1.64 | 1.89 |
Birmingham City
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D D W L |
1 |
| Home | D D L D W |
1.2 |
| Away | L W D W D |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 3.33 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 33% | 0% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.39 | 1.52 | 1.26 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.34 | 1.13 |
More tips for Derby County vs Birmingham City
In addition to the main prediction, see other betting markets for Derby County vs Birmingham City in the EFL Championship:
Correct score prediction for Derby County vs Birmingham City
Birmingham City are the favourites in the odds in this clash. With the available data, we project a narrow win. Probable score: Derby County 0-1 Birmingham City. The correct result is the market with the highest variance. Bet with awareness.
Where to watch Derby County vs Birmingham City
Check out where to watch the live match between Birmingham City and Derby County:
Broadcast: no broadcast scheduled
Predicted line-ups for Derby County and Birmingham City
The line-ups for Derby County vs Birmingham City in the English Championship are officially confirmed between 45 minutes and 1 hour before the match, via the referee's official team sheet and the clubs' social media channels.
Follow below who is expected to take to the pitch.
Derby County (The Rams) Limited line-up
-
1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Goalkeeper
-
4
David Ozoh
Midfielder
-
6
Sondre Klingen Langås
Defender
-
8
Bobby Clark
Midfielder
-
11
Samuel Szmodics
Midfielder
-
16
Mohammed Fuseini
Forward
-
18
Charlie Taylor
Defender
-
20
Alex Mowatt
Midfielder
-
26
Ryan Hedges
Forward
-
28
Dion Sanderson
Defender
-
44
Eiram Cashin
Defender
The starting eleven is confirmed minutes before kick-off.
Birmingham City Football Club Limited line-up
-
1
James Beadle
Goalkeeper
-
4
Christoph Klarer
Defender
-
5
Phil Neumann
Defender
-
7
Carlos Vicente Robles
Forward
-
8
Seung-Ho Paik
Midfielder
-
9
August Priske
Forward
-
17
Liam Millar
Forward
-
24
Tomoki Iwata
Midfielder
-
25
Kristoffer Lund
Defender
-
26
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Defender
-
28
Jay Stansfield
Forward
The Birmingham City starting eleven is confirmed close to the initial whistle.
Match details for Derby County vs Birmingham City
Match: Derby County vs Birmingham City
Tournament: English Championship 2026/27
Date: 12/09/2026
Time: 12:30 (Brasília time)
Venue: Pride Park Stadium
Broadcast: none scheduled
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.