The kick off for the match between Defensor Sporting and Progreso will take place at 23:30 (UK time) - Monday, 04/27 - at the Estadio Luis Franzini. This clash of the 2026 Primera División looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Defensor Sporting Club vs Club Atlético Progreso. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Defensor Sporting Win
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Defensor Sporting Preview
Defensor Sporting has played 12 matches in the Primera División so far, with 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses. This results in an average of 1.42 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. Defensor Sporting's attack has scored 10 goals, 10 of them in the league, which gives an average of 0.83 goals per league match and 0.77 goals per match across the entire season.
Brian Guillermo Montenegro Benítez is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Lucas Agazzi Galeano leads the team in assists with 3. Defensively, The One-Eyed has conceded 8 goals in the league (an average of 0.67) and 9 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.69 over 13 matches).
Progreso preview
In 12 Primera División matches, Progreso has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 0.83 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 2 wins in 12 matches. The team has scored 11 goals, 11 of them in the Primera División (an average of 0.92 goals per match), with Matteo Tiziano Copelotti Clara being the team's top scorer with 2 goals and Facundo Kidd Álvarez providing 1 assists.
Defensively, The Gauchos of the Pantanoso has conceded 19 goals in the league and 19 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.58 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Defensor Sporting vs Progreso
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Defensor Sporting
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W L D D |
1.2 |
| Home | W D W D W |
2.2 |
| Away | D L D L L |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 60% | 14% |
| Goals | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.43 |
| Scored | 0.83 | 1.2 | 0.57 |
| Conceded | 0.67 | 0.4 | 0.86 |
| Both Teams to Score | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 60% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 20% | 57% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 60% | 29% |
|
xG
|
1.29 | 1.58 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.45 | 1.34 | 1.53 |
Progreso
Uruguay - Primera División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L D D |
1 |
| Home | W L D L D |
1 |
| Away | L D W D L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.5 | 2.86 | 2 |
| Scored | 0.92 | 1 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.58 | 1.86 | 1.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 42% | 43% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 8% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 57% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 29% | 20% |
|
xG
|
1.09 | 1.14 | 1.03 |
|
xGA
|
1.57 | 1.59 | 1.54 |
Access all match stats for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso
Where to watch The One-Eyed vs The Gauchos of the Pantanoso live?
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.