Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol | Prediction | Primera División | 24/05

Uruguay - Primera División

0 - 2

24 May 2026 17:30

Defensor Sporting and Peñarol face each other in an official match of the 2026 Primera División season. The game takes place at Estadio Luis Franzini on Sunday, 24/05/2026, at 22:30 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Defensor Sporting Club vs Club Atlético Peñarol, based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

Under 2.5 Goals

Market: Under 2.5 Goals · @ 1.66

1.66

Last updated: 25-05-2026

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

Our prediction is: Defensor Sporting to win

Our big betting tip for this match is a Defensor Sporting home win. Defensor Sporting may not be in the best of form, but we believe they have the quality to pull off a big win against Peñarol.

Moreover, home support has consistently given Defensor Sporting a big boost, and the crowd should be cheering and full of energy throughout this massive match.

Our prediction is: Peñarol to win the 1st half

The various signs and statistics we have studied point to this being a one-sided affair, with the favoured Peñarol likely coming out on top away from home. Peñarol has simply been the superior team this season, whereas Defensor Sporting has struggled.

But for some added value, we recommend betting on Peñarol to win the first half, which would bring a higher potential payout.

The One-Eyed preview

Defensor Sporting comes into the match having played 16 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.31 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses.

Defensor Sporting's attack has scored 14 goals during this period. Out of this total, 14 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 0.88 goals per match. The season's average stands at 0.82.

The offence system of Defensor Sporting is led by Brian Guillermo Montenegro Benítez as the top scorer of the season. The paraguayan forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Lucas Agazzi Galeano, who has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 13 goals with an average of 0.81 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 14 goals conceded in 17 matches, resulting in an average of 0.82.

Coalmen preview

On the other hand, Peñarol comes into the match having played 16 games in the Primera División so far. They have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.88 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2026 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses.

Peñarol's attack has scored 29 goals during this period. Out of this total, 25 goals were scored in the Primera División, averaging 1.56 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.38.

The offence system of Peñarol is led by Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez as the top scorer of the season. The uruguayan forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Leonardo Cecilio Fernández López, who has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 17 goals with an average of 1.06 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 24 goals conceded in 21 matches, resulting in an average of 1.14.

Head to head: Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Defensor Sporting

Home

LLDWD
VS

Peñarol

Away

DWWDD

Points & Results

  • 1.31
    PPG
    1.88
  • 31%
    Wins
    56%
  • 44%
    First to Score
    50%

Goals Scored & Conceded

  • 0.88
    Scored/game
    1.56
  • 0.81
    Conceded/game
    1.06
  • 1.44
    xG
    1.76
  • 1.51
    xGA
    1.18

Trends

  • 50%
    Both Score
    63%
  • 31%
    Clean Sheet
    25%
  • 31%
    Failed to Score
    13%

Access all match stats for Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol

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Published: 21 May 2026
Updated: 20 Oct 2026