Chelsea and Manchester City face each other on Saturday 05.16.2026, at 15:00 (UK Time), in a FA Cup 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Chelsea's home ground, the Stamford Bridge.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Chelsea Football Club and Manchester City Football Club, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Chelsea vs Manchester City
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 1.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Chelsea preview
Chelsea heads into the match with the following record in the FA Cup: in 5 matches, Chelsea Football Club secured 5 victories, 0 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 3 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Chelsea F.C.'s 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 26 victories so far.
Chelsea has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 106 goals, of which 21 were scored in the FA Cup, resulting in an average of 4.2 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is João Pedro, who has found the back of the net 15 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Reece James has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Chelsea has conceded 3 goals in the FA Cup (an average of 0.6 per game) and 79 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.41 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Manchester City preview
Manchester City comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the FA Cup. They have secured 5 victories, 0 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 3 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 38 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses.
Manchester City Football Club's attack has been highly effective, scoring 123 goals during this period. Of that total, 21 were netted in the FA Cup, with an average of 4.2 goals per game. The overall season average is 2.2.
Man City's offensive system is led by Erling Haaland, the team's top scorer this season. The norwegian forward has found the back of the net 26 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ryan Cherki. The midfielder has contributed with 11 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 3 goals with an average of 0.6 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 51 goals in 56 matches, averaging 0.91 per match.
Head to head: Chelsea vs Manchester City
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Chelsea
England - FA Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L W L L |
0.8 |
| Home | L W L L W |
1.2 |
| Away | D L L L W |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Goals | 4.8 | 4 | 5.33 |
| Scored | 4.2 | 4 | 4.33 |
| Conceded | 0.6 | 0 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 80% | 100% | 67% |
|
xG
|
2.14 | 1.65 | 2.46 |
|
xGA
|
1.08 | 0.71 | 1.34 |
Manchester City
England - FA Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D W W |
2.6 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | D W W W D |
2.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Goals | 4.8 | 5 | 4 |
| Scored | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3 |
| Conceded | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60% | 50% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 80% | 75% | 0% |
|
xG
|
2.12 | 2.04 | 2.45 |
|
xGA
|
0.93 | 0.86 | 1.21 |
Access all match stats for Chelsea vs Manchester City
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.