Chelsea vs Benfica | Prediction | UEFA Champions League | 30/09
Europe - UEFA Champions League
Chelsea and Benfica face each other on Tuesday 09.30.2025, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Chelsea's home ground, the Stamford Bridge.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Chelsea and Benfica, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Chelsea vs Benfica
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Chelsea Win
Market: Chelsea Win · @ 1.69
Last updated: 30-04-2026
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match
We strongly suggest taking the total to go over 2.5 goals in this matchup between Chelsea and Benfica.
With the high quality of attacking talent on display coupled with the questionable defence of both teams, this bet has a great chance of hitting.
Our prediction is: Chelsea to win
Chelsea vs Benfica has all the makings of a competitive battle between two sides that are both eyeing an important win. But we are ever so slightly leaning toward Chelsea to win on the 1X2 market.
Chelsea will enjoy home advantage, which they have capitalised on with their strong form at home. They remain good value to win with their odds, and we expect them to pay out those odds with all three points at home.
Chelsea preview
Chelsea heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 1 matches, Chelsea secured 0 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 0 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Chelsea's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 3 victories so far.
Chelsea has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 13 goals, of which 1 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Enzo Fernández, who has found the back of the net 2 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. João Pedro has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Chelsea has conceded 3 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 3 per game) and 9 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.29 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
- 24/10/2026ChelseaTottenhamL0224/10/2026Premier LeagueChelsea
v.s
Tottenham0 - 2L - 17/10/2026EvertonChelseaW0217/10/2026Premier LeagueEverton
v.s
Chelsea0 - 2W - 10/10/2026ChelseaBournemouthW5110/10/2026Premier LeagueChelsea
v.s
Bournemouth5 - 1W - 18/09/2026BrentfordChelseaL3018/09/2026Premier LeagueBrentford
v.s
Chelsea3 - 0L - 12/09/2026ChelseaHull CityD2212/09/2026Premier LeagueChelsea
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Hull City2 - 2D
Benfica preview
Benfica comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 3 victories, 1 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses.
The Eagles's attack has been highly effective, scoring 21 goals during this period. Of that total, 7 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 1.4 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.62.
The Glorious One's offensive system is led by Evangelos Pavlidis, the team's top scorer this season. The greek forward has found the back of the net 5 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Fredrik Aursnes. The midfielder has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 3 goals with an average of 0.6 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 7 goals in 13 matches, averaging 0.54 per match.
- 22/10/2026Omonia NicosiaBenficaW1422/10/2026UEFA Europa LeagueOmonia Nicosia
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Benfica1 - 4W - 15/10/2026BenficaCelticW4115/10/2026UEFA Europa LeagueBenfica
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Celtic4 - 1W - 11/10/2026BenficaVitória GuimarãesW2011/10/2026Liga BwinBenfica
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Vitória Guimarães2 - 0W - 20/09/2026PortoBenficaL3120/09/2026Liga BwinPorto
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Benfica3 - 1L - 16/09/2026MilanBenficaW0216/09/2026UEFA Europa LeagueMilan
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Benfica0 - 2W
Head to head: Chelsea vs Benfica
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Chelsea
Home
Benfica
Away
Points & Results
- PPG02
- 0%Wins60%
- 0%First to Score80%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game11.40
- Conceded/game30.60
- xG0.071.50
- xGA0.711.09
Trends
- 100%Both Score20%
- 0%Clean Sheet80%
- 0%Failed to Score20%
Access all match stats for Chelsea vs Benfica
Where to watch Chelsea vs Benfica live?
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Amauri Barbosa
Content Manager
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.