Chelsea vs Ajax | Prediction | UEFA Champions League | 22/10
Europe - UEFA Champions League
The kick off for the match between Chelsea and Ajax will take place at 20:00 (UK time) - Wednesday, 10/22 - at the Stamford Bridge. This clash of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Chelsea vs Ajax. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Chelsea vs Ajax
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 3.5 Goals
Market: Under 3.5 Goals · @ 1.69
Last updated: 17-10-2025
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match
Based on our analysis, Chelsea vs Ajax looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.
The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.
Our prediction is: Ajax win or draw
We feel strongly about Ajax's chances of leaving with a point, or maybe even more. That is why our betting tip is Ajax to win or draw on the Double Chance market.
Ajax has shown considerable courage and determination in their recent away performances, while Chelsea's form has not been the most convincing. So while an away win might be too much to ask for, Ajax is more than capable of collecting a point in this match.
Chelsea preview
Chelsea has played 2 matches in the UEFA Champions League so far, with 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses. This results in an average of 1.5 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Chelsea's attack has scored 20 goals, 2 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1 goals per league match and 1.82 goals per match across the entire season.
Enzo Fernández is the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, while João Pedro leads the team in assists with 3. Defensively, Chelsea has conceded 3 goals in the league (an average of 1.5) and 13 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.18 over 11 matches).
- 24/10/2026ChelseaTottenhamL0224/10/2026Premier LeagueChelsea
v.s
Tottenham0 - 2L - 17/10/2026EvertonChelseaW0217/10/2026Premier LeagueEverton
v.s
Chelsea0 - 2W - 10/10/2026ChelseaBournemouthW5110/10/2026Premier LeagueChelsea
v.s
Bournemouth5 - 1W - 18/09/2026BrentfordChelseaL3018/09/2026Premier LeagueBrentford
v.s
Chelsea3 - 0L - 12/09/2026ChelseaHull CityD2212/09/2026Premier LeagueChelsea
v.s
Hull City2 - 2D
Ajax preview
In 2 UEFA Champions League matches, Ajax has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 0 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 4 wins in 11 matches. The team has scored 17 goals, 0 of them in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 0 goals per match), with Wout Weghorst being the team's top scorer with 5 goals and Mika Godts providing 3 assists.
Defensively, Ajax has conceded 6 goals in the league and 18 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.64 goals conceded per match.
- 22/10/2026AjaxAtalantaW2022/10/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueAjax
v.s
Atalanta2 - 0W - 18/10/2026GroningenAjaxW2518/10/2026EredivisieGroningen
v.s
Ajax2 - 5W - 15/10/2026Hajduk SplitAjaxL2115/10/2026UEFA Europa Conference LeagueHajduk Split
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Ajax2 - 1L - 10/10/2026AjaxNECD1110/10/2026EredivisieAjax
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NEC1 - 1D - 19/09/2026AjaxExcelsiorD2219/09/2026EredivisieAjax
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Excelsior2 - 2D
Head to head: Chelsea vs Ajax
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Chelsea
Home
Ajax
Away
Points & Results
- PPG1.500
- 50%Wins0%
- 50%First to Score0%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game10
- Conceded/game1.503
- xG1.071.07
- xGA1.381.25
Trends
- 50%Both Score0%
- 50%Clean Sheet0%
- 0%Failed to Score100%
Access all match stats for Chelsea vs Ajax
Where to watch Chelsea vs Ajax live?
Check out the live stream of Chelsea vs Ajax below and follow the match in real time.

Gustavo Porto
Sporting betting analyst
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.