Chelsea and Ajax face each other on Wednesday 10.22.2025, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Chelsea's home ground, the Stamford Bridge.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Chelsea and Ajax, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Chelsea vs Ajax

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

Based on our analysis, Chelsea vs Ajax looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.

The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.

👉 Our prediction is: Ajax win or draw

We feel strongly about Ajax's chances of leaving with a point, or maybe even more. That is why our betting tip is Ajax to win or draw on the Double Chance market.

Ajax has shown considerable courage and determination in their recent away performances, while Chelsea's form has not been the most convincing. So while an away win might be too much to ask for, Ajax is more than capable of collecting a point in this match.

Chelsea preview

Chelsea heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 2 matches, Chelsea secured 1 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.5 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Chelsea's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 6 victories so far.

Chelsea has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 20 goals, of which 2 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Enzo Fernández, who has found the back of the net 3 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. João Pedro has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, Chelsea has conceded 3 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 1.5 per game) and 13 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.18 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.

Ajax preview

Ajax comes into the game with 2 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 0 victories, 0 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 0 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses.

Ajax's attack has been highly effective, scoring 17 goals during this period. Of that total, 0 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 0 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.55.

Ajax's offensive system is led by Wout Weghorst, the team's top scorer this season. The dutch forward has found the back of the net 5 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Mika Godts. The forward has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 6 goals with an average of 3 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 18 goals in 11 matches, averaging 1.64 per match.

Head to head: Chelsea vs Ajax

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Chelsea Team Logo

Chelsea

Europe - UEFA Champions League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L L

1.5

Home W

3

Away L L

0

Away Team

Ajax Team Logo

Ajax

Europe - UEFA Champions League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L L

0

Home L L

0

Away L

0

Access all match stats for Chelsea vs Ajax

Where to watch Chelsea vs Ajax live?

Check out the live stream of Chelsea vs Ajax below and follow the match in real time.

Watch this match

Chelsea logo
X
Ajax logo
Where to Watch