Ceuta and Málaga face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 La Liga 2 season. The game takes place at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube on Saturday, 16/05/2026, at 15:15 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta Fútbol Club vs Málaga Club de Fútbol, S.A.D., based on a detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Ceuta vs Málaga

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analysed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

1st Half Over 0.5 Goals

APWin experts have analysed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Ceuta win or draw

Our top betting tip is Ceuta to win or draw on the Double Chance market. What that means is Ceuta, the home team, must win or draw for the bet to win, and we feel strongly that the match will end in one of those two outcomes.

We simply don't see Ceuta losing to Málaga. More than the gulf in quality between the two sides which is clear to see in the statistics, we also have a lot of belief in Ceuta's ability to make home advantage count in this match.

The Mackerels preview

Ceuta comes into the match having played 39 games in the La Liga 2 so far. They have recorded 15 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.41 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 16 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses.

Ceuta's attack has scored 49 goals during this period. Out of this total, 47 goals were scored in the La Liga 2, averaging 1.21 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.2.

The offence system of Ceuta is led by Marcos Fernández Sánchez as the top scorer of the season. The spanish forward has scored 13 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, José Luis Zalazar Martínez, who has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 59 goals with an average of 1.51 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 60 goals conceded in 41 matches, resulting in an average of 1.46.

The Anchovies preview

On the other hand, Málaga comes into the match having played 39 games in the La Liga 2 so far. They have recorded 19 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.69 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 20 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses.

Málaga's attack has scored 72 goals during this period. Out of this total, 68 goals were scored in the La Liga 2, averaging 1.74 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.76.

The offence system of Málaga is led by Carlos Ruiz Rubio as the top scorer of the season. The spanish midfielder has scored 21 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Joaquín Muñoz Benavides, who has contributed with 8 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 50 goals with an average of 1.28 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 53 goals conceded in 41 matches, resulting in an average of 1.29.

Head to head: Ceuta vs Málaga

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Ceuta Team Logo

Ceuta

Spain - Segunda División

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W D D D

1.4

Home D D D W L

1.2

Away W D L D L

1

Away Team

Málaga Team Logo

Málaga

Spain - Segunda División

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W L L W

1.8

Home W L W D W

2

Away W L D D W

1.6

Access all match stats for Ceuta vs Málaga

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Published on 16 May 2026, at 05:57 Last updated on 24 July 2026, at 20:00
Author: Gustavo Porto

Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.