The kick off for the match between Ceuta and Málaga will take place at 15:15 (UK time) - Saturday, 05/16 - at the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. This clash of the 2025/26 La Liga 2 looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta Fútbol Club vs Málaga Club de Fútbol, S.A.D.. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Ceuta vs Málaga
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Ceuta Preview
Ceuta has played 39 matches in the La Liga 2 so far, with 15 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses. This results in an average of 1.41 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 16 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses. Ceuta's attack has scored 49 goals, 47 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.21 goals per league match and 1.2 goals per match across the entire season.
Marcos Fernández Sánchez is the team’s top scorer with 13 goals, while José Luis Zalazar Martínez leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, The Mackerels has conceded 59 goals in the league (an average of 1.51) and 60 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.46 over 41 matches).
Málaga preview
In 39 La Liga 2 matches, Málaga has recorded 19 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.69 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 20 wins in 41 matches. The team has scored 72 goals, 68 of them in the La Liga 2 (an average of 1.74 goals per match), with Carlos Ruiz Rubio being the team's top scorer with 21 goals and Joaquín Muñoz Benavides providing 8 assists.
Defensively, The Anchovies has conceded 50 goals in the league and 53 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.29 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Ceuta vs Málaga
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Ceuta
Spain - Segunda División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D D D |
1.4 |
| Home | D D D W L |
1.2 |
| Away | W D L D L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 58% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.72 | 2.37 | 3.05 |
| Scored | 1.21 | 1.37 | 1.05 |
| Conceded | 1.51 | 1 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 58% | 55% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 32% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 21% | 35% |
| 1st to Score | 49% | 58% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.24 | 1.4 | 1.09 |
|
xGA
|
1.5 | 1.28 | 1.7 |
Málaga
Spain - Segunda División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L L W |
1.8 |
| Home | W L W D W |
2 |
| Away | W L D D W |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 49% | 60% | 37% |
| Goals | 3.03 | 3.2 | 2.84 |
| Scored | 1.74 | 2.05 | 1.42 |
| Conceded | 1.28 | 1.15 | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% | 65% | 58% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 30% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 10% | 21% |
| 1st to Score | 49% | 65% | 58% |
|
xG
|
1.6 | 1.81 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.47 | 1.33 | 1.61 |
Access all match stats for Ceuta vs Málaga
Where to watch The Mackerels vs The Anchovies live?
Check out the live stream of Ceuta vs Málaga below and follow the match in real time.
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.