Cerro and Progreso face each other on Saturday 03.14.2026, at 13:00 (UK Time), in a Primera División 2026 match. The game will take place at Cerro's home ground, the Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Atlético Cerro and Club Atlético Progreso, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Cerro vs Progreso

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: under 9.5 corners

We expect that corners will be hard to come by in the Cerro vs Progreso match. Neither team has been able to create too many corner opportunities this season with how they have played, and this figures to be another match with a low corner count.

So for this match, we recommend betting on under 9.5 corners, where 9 total corners or fewer between the two teams will win the bet.

👉 Our prediction is: Progreso to win

Take Progreso lightly at your own risk. While they are playing away from home, they are still a dangerous opponent that is capable of causing an upset.

Indeed, we are tipping Progreso to win outright on the 1X2 market, where they are priced at 2.5 to win. We see Progreso matching up well with Cerro, and they have some weapons that can exploit the home side's vulnerabilities.

Cerro preview

Cerro heads into the match with the following record in the Primera División: in 5 matches, Club Atlético Cerro secured 0 victories, 2 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 0.4 points per game.

Taking a broader look at The Villagers's 2026 season, the team has achieved a total of 0 victories so far.

Cerro has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 2 goals, of which 2 were scored in the Primera División, resulting in an average of 0.4 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Alejo Agustín Macelli, who has found the back of the net 1 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Alejo Agustín Macelli has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 0 assists.

On the defensive side, Cerro has conceded 7 goals in the Primera División (an average of 1.4 per game) and 7 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.4 per match in the 2026 campaign.

Progreso preview

Progreso comes into the game with 5 matches played so far in the Primera División. They have secured 0 victories, 2 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 0.4 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026 season, the team has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses.

Club Atlético Progreso's attack has been highly effective, scoring 4 goals during this period. Of that total, 4 were netted in the Primera División, with an average of 0.8 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.8.

The Gauchos of the Pantanoso's offensive system is led by Pablo Nicolás Fernández Sosa, the team's top scorer this season. The uruguayan midfielder has found the back of the net 1 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Sebastián Cardozo Coitinho. The defender has contributed with 0 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 10 goals with an average of 2 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 10 goals in 5 matches, averaging 2 per match.

Head to head: Cerro vs Progreso

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Cerro Team Logo

Cerro

Uruguay - Primera División

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L D D L L

0.4

Home D D L

0.67

Away L L

0

Away Team

Progreso Team Logo

Progreso

Uruguay - Primera División

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D D L L L

0.4

Home D L L

0.33

Away D L

0.5

Access all match stats for Cerro vs Progreso

Where to watch Cerro vs Progreso live?

Check out the live stream of Cerro vs Progreso below and follow the match in real time.

Watch this match

Cerro logo
X
Progreso logo
Where to Watch

Published on 12 March 2026, at 05:04 Last updated on 12 March 2026, at 05:04
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.