Casa Pia and Tondela face each other on Sunday 05.03.2026, at 15:30 (UK Time), in a Liga Portugal 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Casa Pia's home ground, the Estádio Pina Manique.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Casa Pia Atlético Clube and Clube Desportivo de Tondela, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Casa Pia vs Tondela
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
No BTTS 1st Half
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Casa Pia preview
Casa Pia heads into the match with the following record in the Liga Portugal: in 31 matches, Casa Pia Atlético Clube secured 5 victories, 11 draws, and 15 losses, maintaining an average of 0.84 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Geese's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 7 victories so far.
Casa Pia has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 36 goals, of which 29 were scored in the Liga Portugal, resulting in an average of 0.94 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Cassiano Dias Moreira, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Jérémy Livolant has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, Casa Pia has conceded 55 goals in the Liga Portugal (an average of 1.77 per game) and 57 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.68 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Tondela preview
Tondela comes into the game with 31 matches played so far in the Liga Portugal. They have secured 4 victories, 10 draws, and 17 losses, maintaining an average of 0.71 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 5 wins, 11 draws, and 17 losses.
Clube Desportivo de Tondela's attack has been highly effective, scoring 28 goals during this period. Of that total, 23 were netted in the Liga Portugal, with an average of 0.74 goals per game. The overall season average is 0.85.
The Gold-and-Greens's offensive system is led by Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian midfielder has found the back of the net 6 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Emmanuel Maviram. The defender has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 52 goals with an average of 1.68 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 53 goals in 33 matches, averaging 1.61 per match.
Head to head: Casa Pia vs Tondela
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Casa Pia
Portugal - Liga Bwin
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L D |
0.4 |
| Home | L D D D W |
1.2 |
| Away | L L L D L |
0.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 16% | 13% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 2.73 | 2.69 |
| Scored | 0.94 | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.77 | 1.6 | 1.94 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 60% | 38% |
| Without Conceding | 19% | 13% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 26% | 27% | 25% |
|
xG
|
0.97 | 0.92 | 1.01 |
|
xGA
|
1.54 | 1.47 | 1.61 |
Tondela
Portugal - Liga Bwin
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L L D L |
0.4 |
| Home | L D D L D |
0.6 |
| Away | D L L W D |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 13% | 6% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2 | 2.87 |
| Scored | 0.74 | 0.69 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.68 | 1.31 | 2.07 |
| Both Teams to Score | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 16% | 19% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 58% | 63% | 53% |
| 1st to Score | 26% | 19% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.17 | 1.3 | 1.02 |
|
xGA
|
1.59 | 1.64 | 1.54 |
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