Burgos and Ceuta face each other on Wednesday 04.01.2026, at 19:00 (UK Time), in a La Liga 2 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Burgos's home ground, the Estadio Municipal de El Plantío.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Burgos Club de Fútbol, S.A.D. and Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta Fútbol Club, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Burgos vs Ceuta
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Burgos Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Burgos preview
Burgos heads into the match with the following record in the La Liga 2: in 32 matches, Burgos Club de Fútbol, S.A.D. secured 15 victories, 8 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 1.66 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Sons of the Cold's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 18 victories so far.
Burgos has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 43 goals, of which 37 were scored in the La Liga 2, resulting in an average of 1.16 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is David Gonzalez Ballesteros, who has found the back of the net 9 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Florian Miguel has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Burgos has conceded 26 goals in the La Liga 2 (an average of 0.81 per game) and 30 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.83 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Ceuta preview
Ceuta comes into the game with 32 matches played so far in the La Liga 2. They have secured 14 victories, 5 draws, and 13 losses, maintaining an average of 1.47 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 15 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses.
Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta Fútbol Club's attack has been highly effective, scoring 43 goals during this period. Of that total, 41 were netted in the La Liga 2, with an average of 1.28 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.26.
The Mackerels's offensive system is led by Marcos Fernández Sánchez, the team's top scorer this season. The spanish forward has found the back of the net 11 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, José Luis Zalazar Martínez. The midfielder has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 51 goals with an average of 1.59 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 52 goals in 34 matches, averaging 1.53 per match.
Head to head: Burgos vs Ceuta
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Burgos
Spain - Segunda División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D W W |
2.6 |
| Home | W W D W W |
2.6 |
| Away | W D W L D |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 50% | 44% |
| Goals | 1.97 | 1.94 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.16 | 1.31 | 1 |
| Conceded | 0.81 | 0.63 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Without Conceding | 41% | 44% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 31% | 44% |
| 1st to Score | 41% | 50% | 31% |
|
xG
|
1.14 | 1.28 | 1 |
|
xGA
|
1.33 | 1.16 | 1.51 |
Ceuta
Spain - Segunda División
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L L W |
1.2 |
| Home | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Away | L L W L L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 44% | 69% | 19% |
| Goals | 2.88 | 2.69 | 3.06 |
| Scored | 1.28 | 1.56 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.59 | 1.13 | 2.06 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 63% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 13% | 38% |
| 1st to Score | 41% | 69% | 31% |
|
xG
|
1.28 | 1.47 | 1.09 |
|
xGA
|
1.44 | 1.17 | 1.72 |
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.