The kick off for the match between Benfica and Real Madrid will take place at 20:00 (UK time) - Tuesday, 02/17 - at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (Estádio da Luz). This clash of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Real Madrid Club de Fútbol. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Benfica vs Real Madrid
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Over 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Sport Lisboa e Benfica Preview
Benfica has played 12 matches in the UEFA Champions League so far, with 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses. This results in an average of 1.58 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 27 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses. Benfica's attack has scored 74 goals, 15 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.25 goals per league match and 1.72 goals per match across the entire season.
Evangelos Pavlidis is the team’s top scorer with 21 goals, while Fredrik Aursnes leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, The Eagles has conceded 12 goals in the league (an average of 1) and 30 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 0.7 over 43 matches).
Real Madrid Club de Fútbol preview
In 8 UEFA Champions League matches, Real Madrid has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.88 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 28 wins in 39 matches. The team has scored 87 goals, 21 of them in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 2.63 goals per match), with Kylian Mbappé being the team's top scorer with 23 goals and Federico Valverde providing 7 assists.
Defensively, The Whites has conceded 12 goals in the league and 43 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.1 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Benfica vs Real Madrid
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Benfica
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D W W |
2.6 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | W D L W L |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.25 | 2.83 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 1.25 | 1.83 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 17% | 67% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 67% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.86 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.25 | 1.08 | 1.42 |
Real Madrid
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W L W |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | W L W L L |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Goals | 4.13 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
| Scored | 2.63 | 2.5 | 2.75 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 75% | 50% |
|
xG
|
2.14 | 2.48 | 1.8 |
|
xGA
|
1.8 | 1.66 | 1.94 |
Access all match stats for Benfica vs Real Madrid
Where to watch Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Real Madrid Club de Fútbol live?
Check out the live stream of Benfica vs Real Madrid below and follow the match in real time.
I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.