Benfica and Casa Pia face each other on Sunday 11.09.2025, at 21:30 (UK Time), in a Liga Portugal 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Benfica's home ground, the Estádio da Luz.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Benfica and Casa Pia, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Benfica vs Casa Pia

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Benfica Win

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: Casa Pia win or draw

Casa Pia has been a thorn in the side of many teams of late, and even away from home, they are quite a dangerous opponent for anyone. So as they travel to face Benfica, our betting tip is Casa Pia win or draw on the Double Chance market, which means they can either win or draw for the bet to win.

It would honestly not be that big of a surprise if Casa Pia emerged victorious against Benfica given the quality they've shown, but claiming a point is a much more realistic goal.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

From what they have shown thus far this season, Benfica and Casa Pia both tend to play quite defensive styles and like to keep things tight in midfield.

As a result, we predict the total going under 2.5 goals to be the most attractive betting option for this upcoming match.

Benfica preview

Benfica heads into the match with the following record in the Liga Portugal: in 10 matches, The Eagles secured 7 victories, 3 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2.4 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Benfica's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 12 victories so far.

Benfica has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 31 goals, of which 21 were scored in the Liga Portugal, resulting in an average of 2.1 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Evangelos Pavlidis, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Dodi Lukebakio has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, Benfica has conceded 4 goals in the Liga Portugal (an average of 0.4 per game) and 12 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.6 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.

Casa Pia preview

Casa Pia comes into the game with 10 matches played so far in the Liga Portugal. They have secured 2 victories, 2 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 0.8 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses.

Os Gansos's attack has been highly effective, scoring 14 goals during this period. Of that total, 11 were netted in the Liga Portugal, with an average of 1.1 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.27.

Os Gansos's offensive system is led by Jérémy Livolant, the team's top scorer this season. The french midfielder has found the back of the net 3 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Jérémy Livolant. The midfielder has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 22 goals with an average of 2.2 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 22 goals in 11 matches, averaging 2 per match.

Head to head: Benfica vs Casa Pia

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Benfica Team Logo

Benfica

Portugal - Liga Bwin

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W W D W D

2.4

Home W W D D W

2.2

Away W D W W W

2.6

Away Team

Casa Pia Team Logo

Casa Pia

Portugal - Liga Bwin

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L D L D

0.8

Home L D D L L

0.4

Away L L W L W

1.2

Access all match stats for Benfica vs Casa Pia

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