A place in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 16 will be at stake when Belgium take on Senegal this Wednesday in the knockout stage. Belgium recovered from a cautious start to win their group, while Senegal kept their World Cup hopes alive with a crucial victory in their final group match.
Belgium finished first in Group G with five points under Rudi García. The Red Devils drew 1-1 with Egypt and 0-0 with Iran before producing an emphatic 5-1 win over New Zealand to seal top spot. Senegal faced a demanding group but refused to bow out. After losses to France (3-1) and Norway (3-2), Pape Thiaw's side responded with a dominant 5-0 victory over Iraq to advance as one of the tournament's best third-placed teams.
Read our Belgium vs Senegal prediction before staking your money.
Belgium vs Senegal prediction for the 2026 World Cup
It is do or die. That is exactly why the prediction below zeroes in on the strongest bet for this knockout World Cup tie.
Here is our pick:
BTTS - Yes
Who are the favourites?
Based on the leading UK-licensed bookmakers, Belgium is tipped to come out on top, with 44% of the odds leaning towards their win.
Looking for more? Browse all the World Cup odds and dig into this and other ties from the planet's biggest football tournament.
Belgium vs Senegal: head-to-head
Belgium and Senegal share no recent head-to-head record, so this is effectively their first meeting in years.
Belgium at the 2026 World Cup
Belgium arrive having already played 3 match(es) at the 2026 World Cup. Here is the record for Belgium National Team:
At the World Cup:
1 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 0 loss(es)
1.67 point(s) per game on average
6 goals scored at the World Cup (2 per game)
2 goals conceded at the World Cup (0.67 per game)
Belgium National Team in 2026
9 win(s), 6 draw(s) and 0 loss(es) in all competitions
Leading scorer: Kevin De Bruyne with 6 goal(s)
Most assists: Alexis Saelemaekers with 4
Senegal at the 2026 World Cup
Senegal go into this tie with 3 match(es) already behind them at the 2026 World Cup.
Here is what Seleção do Senegal have managed so far:
At the World Cup
1 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 2 loss(es)
1 point(s) per game on average
8 goals scored at the World Cup (2.67 per game)
6 goals conceded at the World Cup (2 per game)
Seleção do Senegal in 2026
10 win(s), 4 draw(s) and 3 loss(es) in all competitions
Leading scorer: Pape Matar Sarr with 5 goal(s)
Most assists: Habib Diallo with 3
Belgium vs Senegal statistics at the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Before you stake anything, look over the side-by-side comparison that sheds light on each nation's current form for this World Cup tie:
Belgium
International - World Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D D W W |
2.2 |
| Home | D D W W D |
1.8 |
| Away | W W D W D |
2.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 2.67 | 1 | 6 |
| Scored | 2 | 0.5 | 5 |
| Conceded | 0.67 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 33% | 0% | 100% |
|
xG
|
2.55 | 2.13 | 3.39 |
|
xGA
|
0.98 | 1.09 | 0.76 |
Senegal
International - World Cup
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L D L |
0.8 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | L L D L W |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 4.67 | 5 | 4.5 |
| Scored | 2.67 | 5 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 0% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 33% | 100% | 0% |
|
xG
|
1.9 | 3.24 | 1.23 |
|
xGA
|
1.2 | 0.56 | 1.53 |
Belgium vs Senegal probable lineups
See the likely starting eleven below for our Belgium vs Senegal prediction at the 2026 World Cup.
Belgium Probable XI: Thibaut Courtois, Brandon Mechele, Nathan Ngoy, Thomas Meunier, Youri Tielemans, Nicolas Raskin, Alexis Saelemaekers, Maxim De Cuyper, Kevin De Bruyne, Leandro Trossard, Romelu Lukaku.
Senegal Probable XI: Édouard Mendy, Mory Diouf, Moussa Niakhaté, Kalidou Koulibaly, Krépin Diatta, Idrissa Gueye, Lamine Camara, Iliman Ndiaye, Sadio Mané, Nicolas Jackson, Ismaïla Sarr.
The confirmed lineups will be available close to the kickoff time.
How to watch Belgium vs Senegal live in the UK
Find out below where you can catch Belgium vs Senegal live during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Just remember, kick-off is at 21:00 UK time.
For the full schedule, check our our World Cup live streaming page.
More betting tips for this match
Alongside the main tip given at the top of this article, here are some other strong bets for Belgium vs Senegal:
Further 2026 World Cup predictions
Browse all of our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions and keep up with the sharpest analysis from start to finish of the tournament.
Match details: Belgium vs Senegal
🆚 Fixture Belgium vs Senegal
🏆 Tournament 2026 FIFA World Cup
📅 Date Wednesday, 01/07/2026
🕐 Kick-off 21:00 UK time
🏟️ Venue Lumen Field, 800 Occidental Avenue South
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.