Belgium vs Italy predictions and preview

Under 3.5 Goals

Market: Under 3.5 Goals · @ 1.50

1.50

Confidence

65%

Secondary prediction

Home Win

42%

Last updated: 11-11-2026

Belgium and Italy face each other on Sunday 11.15.2026, at 19:45 (UK Time), in a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Belgium's home ground, the Stade Roi Baudouin.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Belgium National Team and Seleção da Itália, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

Belgium preview

Belgium heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Nations League: in 4 matches, Belgium National Team secured 2 victories, 0 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.5 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Red Devils's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 14 victories so far.

Belgium has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 64 goals, of which 6 were scored in the UEFA Nations League, resulting in an average of 1.5 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Kevin De Bruyne, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Alexis Saelemaekers has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, Belgium has conceded 5 goals in the UEFA Nations League (an average of 1.25 per game) and 23 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.

Belgium's Latest Results

Italy preview

Italy comes into the game with 4 matches played so far in the UEFA Nations League. They have secured 2 victories, 1 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 1.75 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses.

Seleção da Itália's attack has been highly effective, scoring 37 goals during this period. Of that total, 8 were netted in the UEFA Nations League, with an average of 2 goals per game. The overall season average is 2.18.

The Blues's offensive system is led by Mateo Retegui, the team's top scorer this season. The argentinian forward has found the back of the net 5 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Mateo Retegui. The forward has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 1.25 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 19 goals in 17 matches, averaging 1.12 per match.

Italy's Latest Results

Head to head: Belgium vs Italy

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Belgium

Home

WLWLW

Italy

Away

WWDWL

Points & Results

5
Played
5
3
Wins
3
0
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
1.80
PPG
2.00
60%
Wins
60%
60%
First to Score
40%

Goals Scored & Conceded

8
Goals Scored
11
1.60
Scored/game
2.20
6
Goals Conceded
6
1.20
Conceded/game
1.20
1.45
xG
1.61
2.22
xGA
1.90

Corners

43
Total Corners
49
17
Corners For
17
26
Corners Against
32
3.40
Corners For/game
3.40
5.20
Corners Against/game
6.40

Trends

40%
Both Score
80%
40%
Clean Sheet
0%
20%
Failed to Score
20%

Access all match stats for Belgium vs Italy

Where to watch Belgium vs Italy live?

Check out the live stream of Belgium vs Italy below and follow the match in real time.

Watch this match

Belgium vs Italy

Watch now

UEFA Nations League14:45

Belgiumvs

Italy

1
Over 1.51.19
2
No BTTS 2nd Half1.25
3
DNB - Home Win1.63
4
1st Half Draw2.24

Published: 12 Nov 2026

Updated: 12 Nov 2026