Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
Germany - Bundesliga
Under 4.5 Goals
Market: Under 4.5 Goals · @ 1.50
Last updated: 26-10-2026
Bayern München Form and Insights
Bayern München hosts Borussia Dortmund at the Allianz Arena (Schlauchboot) for this Bundesliga fixture. The match will kick off at 17:30 (UK Time) on 31/10/2026.
Their performance in the Bundesliga so far:
- Wins: 5
- Draws: 2
- Losses: 0
Offensive and defensive statistics:
- Goals scored: 25
- Average goals per match: 3.57
- Goals conceded: 6
- Average goals conceded per match: 0.86
- 28/10/2026Bayern MünchenMagdeburgW6128/10/2026DFB PokalBayern München
v.s
Magdeburg6 - 1W - 25/10/2026FreiburgBayern MünchenW1325/10/2026BundesligaFreiburg
v.s
Bayern München1 - 3W - 21/10/2026Bayern MünchenArsenalD2221/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueBayern München
v.s
Arsenal2 - 2D - 17/10/2026Bayern MünchenRB LeipzigW6117/10/2026BundesligaBayern München
v.s
RB Leipzig6 - 1W - 13/10/2026VikingBayern MünchenD3313/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueViking
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Bayern München3 - 3D
Borussia Dortmund Form and Insights
Borussia Dortmund has played 7 matches in the Bundesliga so far this season. Here's how the team comes into their match with Bayern München:
- Wins: 5
- Draws: 2
- Losses: 0
Goals scored and conceded:
- Goals scored: 12
- Average goals per match: 1.71
- Goals conceded: 4
- Average goals conceded per match: 0.57
- 27/10/2026Borussia DortmundWerder BremenW3227/10/2026DFB PokalBorussia Dortmund
v.s
Werder Bremen3 - 2W - 24/10/2026Borussia DortmundEintracht FrankfurtW1024/10/2026BundesligaBorussia Dortmund
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Eintracht Frankfurt1 - 0W - 20/10/2026SabahBorussia DortmundW1220/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueSabah
v.s
Borussia Dortmund1 - 2W - 17/10/2026Union BerlinBorussia DortmundD0017/10/2026BundesligaUnion Berlin
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Borussia Dortmund0 - 0D - 14/10/2026Bodo/GlimtBorussia DortmundL1014/10/2026UEFA Champions LeagueBodo/Glimt
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Borussia Dortmund1 - 0L
Head-to-Head Statistics
Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund have met 57 times across all competitions.
- Bayern München wins: 32
- Borussia Dortmund wins: 14
- Draws: 11
Bayern München
Home
Borussia Dortmund
Away
Points & Results
- PPG2.432.43
- 71%Wins71%
- 71%First to Score71%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game3.571.71
- Conceded/game0.860.57
- xG2.811.77
- xGA0.961.22
Trends
- 71%Both Score29%
- 29%Clean Sheet71%
- 14%Failed to Score14%
- 22/08/2026Borussia DortmundBayern MünchenW1222/08/2026DFL Super CupBorussia Dortmund
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Bayern München1 - 2W - 28/02/2026Borussia DortmundBayern MünchenW2328/02/2026BundesligaBorussia Dortmund
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Bayern München2 - 3W - 18/10/2025Bayern MünchenBorussia DortmundW2118/10/2025BundesligaBayern München
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Borussia Dortmund2 - 1W - 12/04/2025Bayern MünchenBorussia DortmundD2212/04/2025BundesligaBayern München
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Borussia Dortmund2 - 2D - 30/11/2024Borussia DortmundBayern MünchenD1130/11/2024BundesligaBorussia Dortmund
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Bayern München1 - 1D - 30/03/2024Bayern MünchenBorussia DortmundL0230/03/2024BundesligaBayern München
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Borussia Dortmund0 - 2L
Players to Watch
The players most likely to decide the goal-scoring and player-prop markets in this match:
Bayern München Top Players
- Harry Kane has scored 33 goals so far this season.
- Michael Olise has given 19 assists this season.
Borussia Dortmund Top Players
- Sehrou Guirassy has scored 16 goals so far this season.
- Julian Ryerson has given 15 assists this season.
Betting Insights for Cards and Corners
If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund match.
Bayern München Cards and Corners
- Average cards per match: 0.86
- Average cards when playing at home: 1
- Average corners per match: 12.14
- Average corners when playing at home: 12.34
Borussia Dortmund Cards and Corners
- Average cards per match: 2.43
- Average cards when playing away: 3.33
- Average corners per match: 10.14
- Average corners when playing away: 10.33
Match Details
- Match date: 31/10/2026
- Kick-off time: 17:30
- Competition: Bundesliga
- Game week: 8
- Stadium: Allianz Arena (Schlauchboot)
How APWin Makes Its Predictions
Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.
Here's what we take into account:
- Historical match data
- Home and away performance trends
- Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics
- Betting market odds and line movement analysis
Under 4.5 Goals
Market: Under 4.5 Goals · @ 1.50
Last updated: 26-10-2026
Likely Scores
| # | Score | Probability | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 - 1 | 10.29% | |
| 2 | 2 - 1 | 9.56% | |
| 3 | 2 - 0 | 7.30% | |
| 4 | 3 - 1 | 6.51% | |
| 5 | 2 - 2 | 6.27% | |
| 6 | 1 - 0 | 6.21% | |
| 7 | 1 - 2 | 6.13% | |
| 8 | 3 - 0 | 4.97% | |
| 9 | 0 - 0 | 4.43% | |
| 10 | 3 - 2 | 4.27% | |
| 11 | 0 - 1 | 3.64% | |
| 12 | 4 - 1 | 3.33% |

Amauri Barbosa
Content Manager
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Articles
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.