Bayern München and Mainz 05 face each other on Sunday 12.14.2025, at 16:30 (UK Time), in a Bundesliga 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Bayern München's home ground, the Allianz Arena.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Bayern München and Mainz 05, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Bayern München vs Mainz 05
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Bayern München preview
Bayern München heads into the match with the following record in the Bundesliga: in 13 matches, Bayern secured 12 victories, 1 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2.85 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Bayern München's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 59 victories so far.
Bayern München has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 233 goals, of which 49 were scored in the Bundesliga, resulting in an average of 3.77 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Harry Kane, who has found the back of the net 16 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Michael Olise has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, Bayern München has conceded 9 goals in the Bundesliga (an average of 0.69 per game) and 79 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Mainz 05 preview
Mainz 05 comes into the game with 13 matches played so far in the Bundesliga. They have secured 1 victories, 3 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 0.46 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 21 wins, 14 draws, and 23 losses.
Die Nullfünfer's attack has been highly effective, scoring 80 goals during this period. Of that total, 11 were netted in the Bundesliga, with an average of 0.85 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.38.
Karnevalsverein's offensive system is led by Nadiem Amiri, the team's top scorer this season. The german midfielder has found the back of the net 3 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Benedict Hollerbach. The forward has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 1.85 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 80 goals in 58 matches, averaging 1.38 per match.
Head to head: Bayern München vs Mainz 05
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Bayern München
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W D W |
2.85 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | W D W W W |
2.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Goals | 4.46 | 4.71 | 4.17 |
| Scored | 3.77 | 4.14 | 3.33 |
| Conceded | 0.69 | 0.57 | 0.83 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 54% | 57% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 77% | 71% | 83% |
|
xG
|
2.28 | 2.34 | 2.22 |
|
xGA
|
0.92 | 0.89 | 0.95 |
Mainz 05
Germany - Bundesliga
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L D |
0.46 |
| Home | L D D L L |
0.29 |
| Away | L L L L W |
0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.69 | 2.29 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 0.85 | 0.71 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.85 | 1.57 | 2.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 54% | 57% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 77% | 14% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.3 | 1.41 | 1.16 |
|
xGA
|
1.62 | 1.47 | 1.8 |
Access all match stats for Bayern München vs Mainz 05
Where to watch Bayern München vs Mainz 05 live?
Check out the live stream of Bayern München vs Mainz 05 below and follow the match in real time.
Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.