The kick off for the match between Bahia and Palmeiras will take place at 23:30 (UK time) - Sunday, 04/05 - at the Complexo Esportivo Cultural Octávio Mangabeira (Arena Fonte Nova). This clash of the 2026 Brazil Serie A looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Esporte Clube Bahia vs Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Bahia vs Palmeiras
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Over 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Bahia Preview
Bahia has played 8 matches in the Brazil Serie A so far, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses. This results in an average of 2.13 points per match.
In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 15 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Bahia's attack has scored 46 goals, 12 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.5 goals per league match and 2.19 goals per match across the entire season.
Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo is the team’s top scorer with 4 goals, while Jean Lucas leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Esquadrão de Aço has conceded 7 goals in the league (an average of 0.88) and 21 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1 over 21 matches).
Palmeiras preview
In 8 Brazil Serie A matches, Palmeiras has recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with an average of 2.38 points per game.
In the 2026 season, the team has 15 wins in 20 matches. The team has scored 34 goals, 17 of them in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 2.13 goals per match), with José Manuel López being the team's top scorer with 6 goals and Andreas Pereira providing 7 assists.
Defensively, Verdão has conceded 8 goals in the league and 17 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 0.85 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Bahia vs Palmeiras
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Bahia
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W D |
2 |
| Home | W W D W W |
2.6 |
| Away | L W W L W |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Goals | 2.38 | 2.25 | 2.5 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 0.88 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 63% | 50% | 75% |
|
xG
|
1.29 | 1.57 | 1.02 |
|
xGA
|
1.54 | 1.22 | 1.85 |
Palmeiras
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W L |
2.4 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Goals | 3.13 | 3.25 | 3 |
| Scored | 2.13 | 2.5 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 63% | 100% | 100% |
|
xG
|
1.38 | 1.66 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.45 | 1.34 | 1.57 |
Access all match stats for Bahia vs Palmeiras
Where to watch Esquadrão de Aço vs Verdão live?
Check out the live stream of Bahia vs Palmeiras below and follow the match in real time.
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